ABSTRACT Hydrologic connectivity is defined as the connection among stores of water within a watershed and controls the flux of water and solutes from the subsurface to the stream. Hydrologic connectivity is difficult to quantify because it is goverened by heterogeniety in subsurface storage and permeability and responds to seasonal changes in precipitation inputs and subsurface moisture conditions. How interannual climate variability impacts hydrologic connectivity, and thus stream flow generation and chemistry, remains unclear. Using a rare, four‐year synoptic stream chemistry dataset, we evaluated shifts in stream chemistry and stream flow source of Coal Creek, a montane, headwater tributary of the Upper Colorado River. We leveraged compositional principal component analysis and end‐member mixing to evaluate how seasonal and interannual variation in subsurface moisture conditions impacts stream chemistry. Overall, three main findings emerged from this work. First, three geochemically distinct end members were identified that constrained stream flow chemistry: reach inflows, and quick and slow flow groundwater contributions. Reach inflows were impacted by historic base and precious metal mine inputs. Bedrock fractures facilitated much of the transport of quick flow groundwater and higher‐storage subsurface features (e.g., alluvial fans) facilitated the transport of slow flow groundwater. Second, the contributions of different end members to the stream changed over the summer. In early summer, stream flow was composed of all three end members, while in late summer, it was composed predominantly of reach inflows and slow flow groundwater. Finally, we observed minimal differences in proportional composition in stream chemistry across all four years, indicating seasonal variability in subsurface moisture and spatial heterogeneity in landscape and geologic features had a greater influence than interannual climate fluctuation on hydrologic connectivity and stream water chemistry. These findings indicate that mechanisms controlling solute transport (e.g., hydrologic connectivity and flow path activation) may be resilient (i.e., able to rebound after perturbations) to predicted increases in climate variability. By establishing a framework for assessing compositional stream chemistry across variable hydrologic and subsurface moisture conditions, our study offers a method to evaluate watershed biogeochemical resilience to variations in hydrometeorological conditions.
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This content will become publicly available on August 1, 2026
Subsurface Storage Drives Hydrologic Connectivity and Spatial Variability in Stream Chemistry
Understanding how subsurface water storage—created and structured by the geology and geomorphology of the critical zone—governs hydrologic connectivity between landscapes and streams is essential for explaining spatial and temporal variation in stream water chemistry. Most headwater studies have focused on high‐resolution stream water chemistry at the catchment outlet, rarely examining the spatial variability among tributaries and the main channel, or how these patterns relate to the underlying geology and geomorphology. Linking upstream spatial and temporal variability with chemical dynamics at the outlet over time is even less common. We conducted weekly synoptic sampling along Lookout Creek, located within the HJ Andrews Experimental Forest Long Term Ecological Research programme. Lookout Creek is in the volcanic terrain of the western Cascades, Oregon. The catchment spans multiple geologic units (e.g., lava flows) and geomorphic features (e.g., earthflows). We measured stream chemistry along the main stem and five tributaries to assess how varying degrees of hydrologic connectivity influence solute concentrations and transport across this geologic and geomorphologic template. To identify the timing and magnitude of hydrologic connectivity between tributaries, the main stem, and the catchment outlet, we analysed spatiotemporal patterns in stream chemistry using concentration‐discharge relationships, principal component analysis, and a metric of subcatchment synchrony. We found that in previously glaciated catchments with active earthflows, solute concentrations and base‐cation‐to‐silica ratios were higher, and more solutes had a chemostatic or mobilising behaviour, indicating high subsurface storage. This variability in subsurface storage, and its influence on hydrologic connectivity, ultimately determined the degree of chemical synchrony with the catchment outlet. Our findings suggest that, under future climate scenarios with shifts in precipitation phase and timing, headwater systems with substantial subsurface storage are likely to be more chemically resilient.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2025755
- PAR ID:
- 10644590
- Publisher / Repository:
- Wiley
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Hydrological Processes
- Volume:
- 39
- Issue:
- 8
- ISSN:
- 0885-6087
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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