Abstract While considerable attention has been given to how convectively coupled Kelvin waves (CCKWs) influence the genesis of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Atlantic Ocean, less attention has been given to their direct influence on African easterly waves (AEWs). This study builds a climatology of AEW and CCKW passages from 1981 to 2019 using an AEW-following framework. Vertical and horizontal composites of these passages are developed and divided into categories based on AEW position and CCKW strength. Many of the relationships that have previously been found for TC genesis also hold true for non-developing AEWs. This includes an increase in convective coverage surrounding the AEW center in phase with the convectively enhanced (“active”) CCKW crest, as well as a buildup of relative vorticity from the lower to upper troposphere following this active crest. Additionally, a new finding is that CCKWs induce specific humidity anomalies around AEWs that are qualitatively similar to those of relative vorticity. These modifications to specific humidity are more pronounced when AEWs are at lower latitudes and interacting with stronger CCKWs. While the influence of CCKWs on AEWs is mostly transient and short lived, CCKWs do modify the AEW propagation speed and westward-filtered relative vorticity, indicating that they may have some longer-term influences on the AEW life cycle. Overall, this analysis provides a more comprehensive view of the AEW–CCKW relationship than has previously been established, and supports assertions by previous studies that CCKW-associated convection, specific humidity, and vorticity may modify the favorability of AEWs to TC genesis over the Atlantic.
more »
« less
This content will become publicly available on June 1, 2026
Thermodynamic Processes Governing the Evolution of Developing and Strong Nondeveloping African Easterly Waves
Abstract It is well known that African easterly waves (AEWs) can develop into tropical cyclones. However, the processes leading to development are not well understood. To this end, we examine a 38-yr climatology of AEW tracks sorted into developing AEWs (DAEWs) and strong nondeveloping AEWs (SNDAEWs). Wave-centered composites for tracks in the eastern Atlantic (40°–10°W, 5°S–30°N) and West African monsoon regions (10°W–20°E, 5°S–30°N) reveal that DAEWs occur over a more humid background state in both regions. The more humid environment causes DAEWs to exhibit heavier precipitation and wave amplification via vortex stretching. Examination of the column moist static energy (MSE) budget reveals that DAEWs exhibit stronger radiative heating and more moistening via horizontal MSE advection than SNDAEWs. The stronger horizontal MSE advection in DAEWs is due to a northeast shift in the maximum MSE relative to the wave axis, causing the northerlies in the wave to advect a higher MSE into the maximum precipitation. In contrast, MSE is maximum near the center of NDAEWs, making the moistening of the rainfall by horizontal MSE advection weaker. DAEWs exhibit stronger radiative heating per unit of rainfall relative to NDAEWs, suggesting that cloud-radiative feedbacks are stronger in these systems. The sum of horizontal MSE advection and radiative heating explains the buildup in MSE seen over the rainy region of the DAEWs that is not seen in SNDAEWs. These results underscore the importance of moisture, cloud–radiation interactions, and horizontal MSE advection in tropical cyclone (TC) development over these regions. Significance StatementAfrican easterly waves are the most common precursors of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin. Despite significant progress in understanding the processes that distinguish waves that develop into tropical cyclones versus those that do not, important gaps in knowledge remain. In this study, we employed a wave-centered compositing scheme and the moist static energy budget to understand the differences between easterly waves that develop and the strongest nondeveloping waves. Our results show that waves that develop into tropical cyclones occur in a more humid environment where less dry air is transported toward the wave’s rainy region. The more humid environment is also associated with stronger rainfall as well as stronger radiative heating in developing waves, the latter which favors the buildup of moisture in developing waves. Our results underscore the importance of water vapor and its horizontal distribution in determining the development of African easterly waves.
more »
« less
- PAR ID:
- 10658174
- Publisher / Repository:
- AMS
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
- Volume:
- 82
- Issue:
- 6
- ISSN:
- 0022-4928
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1161 to 1174
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Abstract Convectively coupled waves (CCWs) over the Western Hemisphere are classified based on their governing thermodynamics. It is found that only the tropical depressions (TDs; TD waves) satisfy the criteria necessary to be considered a moisture mode, as in the Rossby-like wave found in an earlier study. In this wave, water vapor fluctuations play a much greater role in the thermodynamics than temperature fluctuations. Only in the eastward-propagating inertio-gravity (EIG) wave does temperature govern the thermodynamics. Temperature and moisture play comparable roles in all the other waves, including the Madden–Julian oscillation over the Western Hemisphere (MJO-W). The moist static energy (MSE) budget of CCWs is investigated by analyzing ERA5 data and data from the 2014/15 observations and modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon 2014/15) field campaign. Results reveal that vertical advection of MSE acts as a primary driver of the propagation of column MSE in westward inertio-gravity (WIG) wave, Kelvin wave, and MJO-W, while horizontal advection plays a central role in the mixed Rossby gravity (MRG) and TD wave. Results also suggest that cloud radiative heating and the horizontal MSE advection govern the maintenance of most of the CCWs. Major disagreements are found between ERA5 and GoAmazon. In GoAmazon, convection is more tightly coupled to variations in column MSE, and vertical MSE advection plays a more prominent role in the MSE tendency. These results along with substantial budget residuals found in ERA5 data suggest that CCWs over the tropical Western Hemisphere are not represented adequately in the reanalysis. Significance StatementIn comparison to other regions of the globe, the weather systems that affect precipitation in the tropical Western Hemisphere have received little attention. In this study, we investigate the structure, propagation, and thermodynamics of convectively coupled waves that impact precipitation in this region. We found that slowly evolving tropical systems are “moisture modes,” i.e., moving regions of high humidity and precipitation that are maintained by interactions between clouds and radiation. The faster waves are systems that exhibit relatively larger fluctuations in temperature. Vertical motions are more important for the movement of rainfall in these waves. Last, we found that reanalysis and observations disagree over the importance of different processes in the waves that occurred over the Amazon region, hinting at potential deficiencies on how the reanalysis represents clouds in this region.more » « less
-
African Easterly Waves (AEWs) are synoptic-scale atmospheric disturbances that serve as precursors to tropical cyclones (TCs) in the North Atlantic and North Africa. As climate changes, TC activities are increasingly frequent, leading to exponentially growing socio-economic losses. So understanding the physical mechanisms governing the tropical cyclogenesis (TCG) of AEWs remains a crucial problem. Competing theoretical frameworks, including baroclinic instability, barotropic instability, and moisture-vortex instability (MVI) have been proposed, but their relative importance and temporal evolution during storm development remain unclear. In this study, machine learning algorithms are used to empirically analyze the governing mechanisms of AEW development based on 40 years of reanalysis data (1979-2018). We develop a computer vision framework utilizing convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and transformer architectures to identify developing AEWs (DAEWs) from non-developing AEWs (NDAEWs) based on wave-centered composites of key thermodynamic and dynamic variables for storm development. The model results suggest that the MVI framework is a critical factor for high classification accuracy in distinguishing developers from non-developers.more » « less
-
Abstract Previous observational and modeling studies have suggested that moisture plays a dominant role in Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) evolution. Using a realistic MJO simulation by incorporating the role of mesoscale stratiform heating in the Zhang–McFarlane deep convection scheme in the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Atmosphere Model, version 5.3 (NCAR CAM5.3), this study investigates the factors responsible for the improved MJO simulation by examining moisture variations during different MJO phases. The results of column moist static energy (MSE) and moisture budgets show that during the suppressed phases of MJO, vertical advection acts to increase MSE anomalies for the development of deep convection while radiative heating and surface heat flux decrease MSE. The opposite holds true at the MJO mature phase. However, their roles largely cancel each other, leaving horizontal advection to play a major role in the low-level MSE increase during the suppressed phase of the MJO and MSE decrease after the MJO mature phase. A further analysis combining moisture and temperature budget equations is performed to demonstrate the effects of vertical advection and cloud processes within the column at each level. The vertical profiles of column-confined moisture tendency show that large-scale vertical advection induced by latent heat release and evaporation within shallow convective clouds is also important to the lower-tropospheric moistening during suppressed phases. This confirms the role of shallow convection in low-level moistening ahead of MJO deep convection. Radiative heating is vital across all MJO phases, and its warming effects keep the column humidity anomaly maintained in mature phases. None of these features are reproduced by the standard CAM5.3.more » « less
-
The West African summer monsoon features multiple, complex interactions between African easterly waves (AEWs), moist convection, variable land surface properties, dust aerosols, and the diurnal cycle. One aspect of these interactions, the coupling between convection and AEWs, is explored using observations obtained during the 2006 African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses (AMMA) field campaign. During AMMA, a research weather radar operated at Niamey, Niger, where it surveilled 28 squall-line systems characterized by leading convective lines and trailing stratiform regions. Nieto Ferreira et al. found that the squall lines were linked with the passage of AEWs and classified them into two tracks, northerly and southerly, based on the position of the African easterly jet (AEJ). Using AMMA sounding data, we create a composite of northerly squall lines that tracked on the cyclonic shear side of the AEJ. Latent heating within the trailing stratiform regions produced a midtropospheric positive potential vorticity (PV) anomaly centered at the melting level, as commonly observed in such systems. However, a unique aspect of these PV anomalies is that they combined with a 400–500-hPa positive PV anomaly extending southward from the Sahara. The latter feature is a consequence of the deep convective boundary layer over the hot Saharan Desert. Results provide evidence of a coupling and merging of two PV sources—one associated with the Saharan heat low and another with latent heating—that ends up creating a prominent midtropospheric positive PV maximum to the rear of West African squall lines.more » « less
An official website of the United States government
