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Abstract A recent theory proposes that tropical depression (TD)‐type waves grow by flattening the mean meridional moisture gradient, consequently weakening the Hadley Cell through a poleward moisture flux. To evaluate this theory, we investigate the seasonality of TD‐type waves and their relation to the Hadley Cell in ERA5 and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models. On the basis of the theory, a Hadley Cell instability metric is defined whose variability is largely determined by the background meridional moisture gradient and the sensitivity of rainfall to moisture fluctuations. Results show that both TD‐type wave column moisture variance and eddy moisture fluxes peak when the Hadley Cell instability metric is a maximum. These conditions typically occur when the mean meridional precipitation gradient is strongest and the Hadley Cell is weak and narrow. CMIP6 models that exhibit higher Hadley Cell instability metric simulate stronger TD‐type wave activity in the Northern Hemisphere. 

Abstract Caribbean easterly waves (CEWs) propagate in an environment that is distinct from that of other easterly waves since it exhibits substantial westerly vertical wind shear. In spite of this distinction, their structure, propagation, and growth have not received much attention. A linear regression analysis reveals that these systems exhibit features consistent with moisture modes that are destabilized by moisture–vortex instability. They exhibit large moisture fluctuations and are in weak temperature gradient (WTG) balance, and moist static energy (MSE) growth is partly driven by meridional mean MSE advection by the anomalous winds. However, its circulation tilts vertically against the mean shear, a feature that is often associated with baroclinic instability. To reconcile these differences, a linear stability analysis employing a moist two-layer model is performed using a basic state that resembles the Caribbean Sea during boreal summer. The unstable wave solution from this analysis exhibits a structure that resembles observed CEWs. Excluding the upper troposphere from the stability analysis has little impact on the propagation and growth of the wave, and its circulation still exhibits a westward tilt in height. Thus, baroclinic instability is not the main growth mechanism of CEWs despite their structural similarity to baroclinic waves. Instead, the instability is largely rooted in how the lower-tropospheric circulation interacts with water vapor, as expected from moisture mode theory. These results suggest that tilting against the shear should not be used as the sole diagnostic for baroclinic instability. Baroclinic instability is unlikely to be a primary driver of growth for most oceanic tropical-depression-type waves, in agreement with previous work. Significance StatementThe environment in which Caribbean easterly waves propagate has a vertical wind shear that is like that seen in the midlatitudes, with winds becoming more westerly with height. Furthermore, the center of low pressure of the waves shifts toward the west, as in deepening midlatitude weather systems. This wave structure and shear is different from easterly waves that occur in other regions. However, in spite of the similarity to midlatitude weather systems, we show that Caribbean easterly waves mostly grow from moisture transports in the lower atmosphere. Thus, in spite of the distinct environment and wave structure, Caribbean easterly waves are driven by the same processes as other tropical easterly waves. These results underscore the importance of water vapor in driving tropical circulations. They also indicate that the processes that govern the growth of midlatitude weather may be of less importance in the tropics, even in regions that suggest otherwise. 

Abstract It is well known that African easterly waves (AEWs) can develop into tropical cyclones. However, the processes leading to development are not well understood. To this end, we examine a 38-yr climatology of AEW tracks sorted into developing AEWs (DAEWs) and strong nondeveloping AEWs (SNDAEWs). Wave-centered composites for tracks in the eastern Atlantic (40°–10°W, 5°S–30°N) and West African monsoon regions (10°W–20°E, 5°S–30°N) reveal that DAEWs occur over a more humid background state in both regions. The more humid environment causes DAEWs to exhibit heavier precipitation and wave amplification via vortex stretching. Examination of the column moist static energy (MSE) budget reveals that DAEWs exhibit stronger radiative heating and more moistening via horizontal MSE advection than SNDAEWs. The stronger horizontal MSE advection in DAEWs is due to a northeast shift in the maximum MSE relative to the wave axis, causing the northerlies in the wave to advect a higher MSE into the maximum precipitation. In contrast, MSE is maximum near the center of NDAEWs, making the moistening of the rainfall by horizontal MSE advection weaker. DAEWs exhibit stronger radiative heating per unit of rainfall relative to NDAEWs, suggesting that cloud-radiative feedbacks are stronger in these systems. The sum of horizontal MSE advection and radiative heating explains the buildup in MSE seen over the rainy region of the DAEWs that is not seen in SNDAEWs. These results underscore the importance of moisture, cloud–radiation interactions, and horizontal MSE advection in tropical cyclone (TC) development over these regions. Significance StatementAfrican easterly waves are the most common precursors of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin. Despite significant progress in understanding the processes that distinguish waves that develop into tropical cyclones versus those that do not, important gaps in knowledge remain. In this study, we employed a wave-centered compositing scheme and the moist static energy budget to understand the differences between easterly waves that develop and the strongest nondeveloping waves. Our results show that waves that develop into tropical cyclones occur in a more humid environment where less dry air is transported toward the wave’s rainy region. The more humid environment is also associated with stronger rainfall as well as stronger radiative heating in developing waves, the latter which favors the buildup of moisture in developing waves. Our results underscore the importance of water vapor and its horizontal distribution in determining the development of African easterly waves. 

Abstract The moist processes of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models are assessed using moisture mode theory‐based diagnostics over the Indian Ocean (10°S–10°N, 75°E–100°E). Results show that no model can capture all the moisture mode properties relative to the reanalysis. Most models satisfy weak temperature gradient balance but have unrealistically fast MJO propagation and a lower moisture‐precipitation correlation. Models that satisfy the most moisture mode criteria reliably simulate a stronger MJO. The background moist static energy (MSE) and low‐level zonal winds are more realistic in the models that satisfy the most criteria. The MSE budget associated with the MJO is also well‐represented in the good models. Capturing the MJO's moisture mode properties over the Indian Ocean is associated with a more realistic representation of the MJO and thus can be employed to diagnose MJO performance. 

Abstract The governing thermodynamics of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) is examined using sounding and reanalysis data. On the basis of four objective criteria, results suggest that the MJO behaves like a moisture mode–a system whose thermodynamics is governed by moisture–only over the Indian Ocean. Over this basin, the MJO shows a slow convective adjustment timescale, its zonal scale is smaller, and it exhibits slow propagation, allowing moisture modes to exist. Elsewhere, the faster‐propagating wavenumber 1–2 components are more prominent preventing weak temperature gradient (WTG) balance to be established. As a result, temperature and moisture play similar roles in the MJO's thermodynamics outside the Indian Ocean. 

Abstract Observations of column water vapor in the tropics show significant variations in space and time, indicating that it is strongly influenced by the passage of weather systems. It is hypothesized that many of the influencing systems are moisture modes, systems whose thermodynamics are governed by moisture. On the basis of four objective criteria, results suggest that all oceanic convectively-coupled tropical depression-like waves (TD-waves) and equatorial Rossby waves are moisture modes. These modes occur where the horizontal column moisture gradient is steep and not where the column water vapor content is high. Despite geographical basic state differences, the moisture modes are driven by the same mechanisms across all basins. The moist static energy (MSE) anomalies propagate westward by horizontal moisture advection by the trade winds. Their growth is determined by the advection of background moisture by the anomalous meridional winds and anomalous radiative heating. Horizontal maps of column moisture and 850 hPa streamfunction show that convection is partially collocated with the low-level circulation in nearly all the waves. Both this structure and the process of growth indicate that the moisture modes grow from moisture-vortex instability. Lastly, space-time spectral analysis reveals that column moisture and low-level meridional winds are coherent and exhibit a phasing that is consistent with a poleward latent energy transport. Collectively, these results indicate that moisture modes are ubiquitous across the tropics. That they occur in regions of steep horizontal moisture gradients and grow from moisture-vortex instability suggests that these gradients are inherently unstable and are subject to continuous stirring. 

Abstract Interactions between large-scale waves and the Hadley Cell are examined using a linear two-layer model on anf-plane. A linear meridional moisture gradient determines the strength of the idealized Hadley Cell. The trade winds are in thermal wind balance with a weak temperature gradient (WTG). The mean meridional moisture gradient is unstable to synoptic-scale (horizontal scale of ∼1000 km) moisture modes that are advected westward by the trade winds, reminiscent of oceanic tropical depression-like waves. Meridional moisture advection causes the moisture modes to grow from “moisture-vortex instability” (MVI), resulting in a poleward eddy moisture flux that flattens the zonal-mean meridional moisture gradient, thereby weakening the Hadley Cell. The amplification of waves at the expense of the zonal-mean meridional moisture gradient implies a downscale latent energy cascade. The eddy moisture flux is opposed by a regeneration of the meridional moisture gradient by the Hadley Cell. These Hadley Cell-moisture mode interactions are reminiscent of quasi-geostrophic interactions, except that wave activity is due to column moisture variance rather than potential vorticity variance. The interactions can result in predator-prey cycles in moisture mode activity and Hadley Cell strength that are akin to ITCZ breakdown. It is proposed that moisture modes are the tropical analog to midlatitude baroclinic waves. MVI is analogous to baroclinic instability, stirring latent energy in the same way that dry baroclinic eddies stir sensible heat. These results indicate that moisture modes stabilize the Hadley Cell, and may be as important as the latter in global energy transport. 

Abstract The moist static energy (MSE) budget is widely used to understand moist atmospheric thermodynamics. However, the budget is not exact, and the accuracy of the approximations that yield it has not been examined rigorously in the context of large-scale tropical motions (horizontal scales ≥ 1000 km). A scale analysis shows that these approximations are most accurate in systems whose latent energy anomalies are considerably larger than the geopotential and kinetic energy anomalies. This condition is satisfied in systems that exhibit phase speeds and horizontal winds on the order of 10 m s⁻¹or less. Results from a power spectral analysis of data from the DYNAMO field campaign and ERA5 qualitatively agree with the scaling, although they indicate that the neglected terms are smaller than what the scaling suggests. A linear regression analysis of the MJO events that occurred during DYNAMO yields results that support these findings. It is suggested that the MSE budget is accurate in the tropics because motions within these latitudes are constrained to exhibit small fluctuations in geopotential and kinetic energy as a result of weak temperature gradient (WTG) balance. 

Abstract Convectively coupled waves (CCWs) over the Western Hemisphere are classified based on their governing thermodynamics. It is found that only the tropical depressions (TDs; TD waves) satisfy the criteria necessary to be considered a moisture mode, as in the Rossby-like wave found in an earlier study. In this wave, water vapor fluctuations play a much greater role in the thermodynamics than temperature fluctuations. Only in the eastward-propagating inertio-gravity (EIG) wave does temperature govern the thermodynamics. Temperature and moisture play comparable roles in all the other waves, including the Madden–Julian oscillation over the Western Hemisphere (MJO-W). The moist static energy (MSE) budget of CCWs is investigated by analyzing ERA5 data and data from the 2014/15 observations and modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon 2014/15) field campaign. Results reveal that vertical advection of MSE acts as a primary driver of the propagation of column MSE in westward inertio-gravity (WIG) wave, Kelvin wave, and MJO-W, while horizontal advection plays a central role in the mixed Rossby gravity (MRG) and TD wave. Results also suggest that cloud radiative heating and the horizontal MSE advection govern the maintenance of most of the CCWs. Major disagreements are found between ERA5 and GoAmazon. In GoAmazon, convection is more tightly coupled to variations in column MSE, and vertical MSE advection plays a more prominent role in the MSE tendency. These results along with substantial budget residuals found in ERA5 data suggest that CCWs over the tropical Western Hemisphere are not represented adequately in the reanalysis. Significance StatementIn comparison to other regions of the globe, the weather systems that affect precipitation in the tropical Western Hemisphere have received little attention. In this study, we investigate the structure, propagation, and thermodynamics of convectively coupled waves that impact precipitation in this region. We found that slowly evolving tropical systems are “moisture modes,” i.e., moving regions of high humidity and precipitation that are maintained by interactions between clouds and radiation. The faster waves are systems that exhibit relatively larger fluctuations in temperature. Vertical motions are more important for the movement of rainfall in these waves. Last, we found that reanalysis and observations disagree over the importance of different processes in the waves that occurred over the Amazon region, hinting at potential deficiencies on how the reanalysis represents clouds in this region.