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1. A Framework for Assessing the Habitat Correlates of Spatially Explicit Population Trends

   https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70030  

   Stillman, Andrew N; Davis, Courtney L; Dunham, Kylee D; Ruiz‐Gutierrez, Viviana; Rodewald, Amanda D; Johnston, Alison; Auer, Tom; Strimas‐Mackey, Matt; Ligocki, Shawn; Fink, Daniel (May 2025, Diversity and Distributions)

   ABSTRACT AimHalting widespread biodiversity loss will require detailed information on species' trends and the habitat conditions correlated with population declines. However, constraints on conventional monitoring programs and commonplace approaches for trend estimation can make it difficult to obtain such information across species' ranges. Here, we demonstrate how recent developments in machine learning and model interpretation, combined with data sources derived from participatory science, enable landscape‐scale inferences on the habitat correlates of population trends across broad spatial extents. LocationWorldwide, with a case study in the western United States. MethodsWe used interpretable machine learning to understand the relationships between land cover and spatially explicit bird population trends. Using a case study with three passerine birds in the western U.S. and spatially explicit trends derived from eBird data, we explore the potential impacts of simulated land cover modification while evaluating potential co‐benefits among species. ResultsOur analysis revealed complex, non‐linear relationships between land cover variables and species' population trends as well as substantial interspecific variation in those relationships. Areas with the most positive impacts from a simulated land cover modification overlapped for two species, but these changes had little effect on the third species. Main ConclusionsThis framework can help conservation practitioners identify important relationships between species trends and habitat while also highlighting areas where potential modifications to the landscape could bring the biggest benefits. The analysis is transferable to hundreds of species worldwide with spatially explicit trend estimates, allowing inference across multiple species at scales that are tractable for management to combat species declines. 

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2. Nonnative Species Richness and Dominance Reveal Differing Support for Invasion Theory at a Continental Extent

   https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.70044  

   Thompson, Lily M; Annis, William K; Midway, Stephen R; Olden, Julian D; Peoples, Brandon K (May 2025, Global Ecology and Biogeography)

   ABSTRACT AimEmpirical tests of conceptual hypotheses describing species invasions often differ depending on the spatial scale (spatial resolution and extent of study area) at which they were conducted. Some of this disparity may arise from tradeoffs in data quality necessitating the use of different indices of community invadedness among scales. Local‐scale studies typically use fine‐resolution, descriptive measures of community invadedness (‘dominance’, the proportion nonnative individuals) at limited spatial extents, while macroscale studies often aggregate datasets to cover large spatial extents but use coarser spatial resolution and less descriptive indices (nonnative species richness). We investigated the consequences of using different indices to represent community invadedness at different spatial scales, and explored the implications for hypothesis testing when nonnative richness and dominance are not related. Location23,793 stream segments within 17 regional watersheds, conterminous United States. Time Period2000–2023. Major Taxa StudiedFreshwater fishes. MethodsUsing a large‐extent, fine‐resolution dataset, we evaluated the correlation between nonnative species richness and dominance in communities, and compared empirical support for prominent invasion hypotheses (biotic resistance, disturbance facilitation) in identical Bayesian hierarchical models with community invadedness represented by each metric. ResultsNonnative richness and dominance were weakly correlated, allowing us to classify communities into four archetypes based on relationships between the two indices. Empirical support for both invasion hypotheses differed between the two indices of community invadedness both overall and within regional watersheds. Main ConclusionsNonnative species richness and dominance describe different facets of the invasion process and may under‐ or over‐represent community invadedness when considered alone. Empirical disparity between models estimating the two metrics may be an important source of scale‐dependent inference in invasion ecology. When assembling datasets for macroscale studies, retaining fine spatial resolution as much as possible will allow researchers opportunities to use more descriptive and potentially complementary indices of community invadedness. 

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3. Spatial variation in the intensity of interactions via heterospecific pollen transfer may contribute to local and global patterns of plant diversity

   https://doi.org/10.1093/aob/mcab082  

   Arceo-Gómez, Gerardo (July 2021, Annals of Botany)

   Abstract BackgroundStudies that aim to understand the processes that generate and organize plant diversity in nature have a long history in ecology. Among these, the study of plant–plant interactions that take place indirectly via pollinator choice and floral visitation has been paramount. Current evidence, however, indicates that plants can interact more directly via heterospecific pollen (HP) transfer and that these interactions are ubiquitous and can have strong fitness effects. The intensity of HP interactions can also vary spatially, with important implications for floral evolution and community assembly. ScopeInterest in understanding the role of heterospecific pollen transfer in the diversification and organization of plant communities is rapidly rising. The existence of spatial variation in the intensity of species interactions and their role in shaping patterns of diversity is also well recognized. However, after 40 years of research, the importance of spatial variation in HP transfer intensity and effects remains poorly known, and thus we have ignored its potential in shaping patterns of diversity at local and global scales. Here, I develop a conceptual framework and summarize existing evidence for the ecological and evolutionary consequences of spatial variation in HP transfer interactions and outline future directions in this field. ConclusionsThe drivers of variation in HP transfer discussed here illustrate the high potential for geographic variation in HP intensity and its effects, as well as in the evolutionary responses to HP receipt. So far, the study of pollinator-mediated plant–plant interactions has been almost entirely dominated by studies of pre-pollination interactions even though their outcomes can be influenced by plant–plant interactions that take place on the stigma. It is hence critical that we fully evaluate the consequences and context-dependency of HP transfer interactions in order to gain a more complete understanding of the role that plant–pollinator interactions play in generating and organizing plant biodiversity. 

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4. Maximum temperatures determine the habitat affiliations of North American mammals

   https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2304411120  

   Tourani, Mahdieh; Sollmann, Rahel; Kays, Roland; Ahumada, Jorge; Fegraus, Eric; Karp, Daniel S (December 2023, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)

   Addressing the ongoing biodiversity crisis requires identifying the winners and losers of global change. Species are often categorized based on how they respond to habitat loss; for example, species restricted to natural environments, those that most often occur in anthropogenic habitats, and generalists that do well in both. However, species might switch habitat affiliations across time and space: an organism may venture into human-modified areas in benign regions but retreat into thermally buffered forested habitats in areas with high temperatures. Here, we apply community occupancy models to a large-scale camera trapping dataset with 29 mammal species distributed over 2,485 sites across the continental United States, to ask three questions. First, are species’ responses to forest and anthropogenic habitats consistent across continental scales? Second, do macroclimatic conditions explain spatial variation in species responses to land use? Third, can species traits elucidate which taxa are most likely to show climate-dependent habitat associations? We found that all species exhibited significant spatial variation in how they respond to land-use, tending to avoid anthropogenic areas and increasingly use forests in hotter regions. In the hottest regions, species occupancy was 50% higher in forested compared to open habitats, whereas in the coldest regions, the trend reversed. Larger species with larger ranges, herbivores, and primary predators were more likely to change their habitat affiliations than top predators, which consistently affiliated with high forest cover. Our findings suggest that climatic conditions influence species’ space-use and that maintaining forest cover can help protect mammals from warming climates. 

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5. Ephemeral Wetland Macroinvertebrate Communities Across Climate Regions Share Similar Functional Trait Composition Despite Near‐Total Taxa Replacement

   https://doi.org/10.1111/fwb.70028  

   Frazier, Christopher F; Karlin, Andrew T; Boeing, Wiebke J; Brock, Elizabeth; Buchanan, Jacob; Hogan, J Derek; McCluney, Kevin E; Patrick, Christopher J; Thorp, James H (April 2025, Freshwater Biology)

   ABSTRACT Community assembly in aquatic habitats is heavily influenced by hydrology, but understanding the influence of other habitat conditions is also critical. Most studies focus on comparisons of geographically close communities that exist under diverse hydrological regimes, but this framework limits our ability to understand how conditions other than hydrology shape ephemeral wetland communities. Here, we investigated how macroinvertebrate communities vary with local, landscape, and climate variables in ephemeral wetlands across a large geographic range with few geographic barriers.We sampled ephemeral wetlands in North Dakota, New Mexico, and Texas (USA) in 2021 and in North Dakota and New Mexico in 2022. We used an array of hydrographic, climate, landscape, and spatial variables to relate taxonomic and functional macroinvertebrate community composition and diversity to habitat conditions.Taxonomic composition was overwhelmingly different among states and between years: landscape‐scale refuge availability explained variation in taxonomic composition, but local and climate‐scale variables only explained variation within the context of other variables. Trait composition was similar between most sampling groups, but distinct trait assemblages occurred in the North Dakota 2021 communities. No predictor variable matrix explained trait composition alone, but local, climate, landscape, and spatial arrangement predicted composition when considering the overlapping influence of other variables. Taxa and trait diversity indices were associated with increased refuge habitat at landscape scale.Our results show consistent trait structure across a large geographical scale in hydrologically similar wetlands, despite almost complete taxonomic turnover between regions. Patterns in taxonomic and functional composition imply that incorporating predictor variables at multiple scales is critical in understanding ephemeral wetland community composition.Despite similar hydrological regimes and potential for connectivity via dispersal, taxa replacement is high in ephemeral wetlands across regions within a single grassland macrosystem. Taxonomic composition and overall diversity change with the context provided by a diverse suite of structuring variables. Further, we show that in most cases, ephemeral hydrology elicits a similar trait response across climate regions. 

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