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Abstract Sporadic‐E is an ionospheric phenomenon defined by strong layers of plasma which may interfere with radio wave propagation. In this work, we develop deep learning models to improve the understanding of , including the presence, intensity and height of the layers. We developed three separate models. The first, building off earlier work in (J. A. Ellis et al., 2024,https://doi.org/10.1029/2023sw003669), includes only the main features from radio occultation (RO) measurements. The second adds to that time, date, location, geomagnetic and solar indices, solar winds, x‐ray flux, weather and lightning. A third model excludes RO measurements but includes the rest. In training the first two models, the ordinary mode critical frequency (foEs), a measure of intensity, and height (hEs) parameters extracted from ionosondes were used as the “ground truth” target variables. In training the third model, estimated foEs and hEs values from the RO model were added as target variables to augment the data set and produce physically reasonable model predictions globally. We find that the second model performs well with intensity prediction tasks, but struggles with height estimations, which is likely due to the tangent point assumption made during RO signal processing and errors inherent in the ionosonde extracted virtual heights. The third model performed reasonably well considering the lack of in situ RO measurement. The third model performs the best on height predictions, which points to the height being very climatologically driven, whereas the intensity is a more complex interaction of several variables.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available May 1, 2026
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National models of the electric sector typically consider a handful of generator operating periods per year, while pollutant fate and transport models have an hourly resolution. We bridge that scale gap by introducing a novel fundamental-based temporal downscaling method (TDM) for translating national or regional energy scenarios to hourly emissions. Optimization-based generator dispatch is used to account for variations in emissions stemming from weather-sensitive power demands and wind and solar generation. The TDM is demonstrated by downscaling emissions from the electricity market module in the National Energy Model System. As a case study, we implement the TDM in the Virginia−Carolinas region and compare its results with traditional statistical downscaling used in the Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions (SMOKE) processing model. We find that the TDM emission profiles respond to weather and that nitrogen oxide emissions are positively correlated with conditions conducive to ozone formation. In contrast, SMOKE emission time series, which are rooted in historical operating patterns, exhibit insensitivity to weather conditions and potential biases, particularly with high renewable penetration and climate change. Relying on SMOKE profiles can also obscure variations in emission patterns across different policy scenarios, potentially downplaying their impacts on power system operations and emissions.more » « less
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Abstract In this work, convolutional neural networks (CNN) are developed to detect and characterize sporadic E (Es), demonstrating an improvement over current methods. This includes a binary classification model to determine ifEsis present, followed by a regression model to estimate theEsordinary mode critical frequency (foEs), a proxy for the intensity, along with the height at which theEslayer occurs (hEs). Signal‐to‐noise ratio (SNR) and excess phase profiles from six Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) radio occultation (RO) missions during the years 2008–2022 are used as the inputs of the model. Intensity (foEs) and the height (hEs) values are obtained from the global network of ground‐based Digisonde ionosondes and are used as the “ground truth,” or target variables, during training. After corresponding the two data sets, a total of 36,521 samples are available for training and testing the models. The foEs CNN binary classification model achieved an accuracy of 74% and F1‐score of 0.70. Mean absolute errors (MAE) of 0.63 MHz and 5.81 km along with root‐mean squared errors (RMSE) of 0.95 MHz and 7.89 km were attained for estimating foEs and hEs, respectively, when it was known thatEswas present. When combining the classification and regression models together for use in practical applications where it is unknown ifEsis present, an foEs MAE and RMSE of 0.97 and 1.65 MHz, respectively, were realized. We implemented three other techniques for sporadic E characterization, and found that the CNN model appears to perform better.more » « less
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Mouza, C (Ed.)An Educational CAD Model Library (CAD Library) is being developed by collaborating educational associations affiliated with the National Technology Leadership Summit coalition. The CAD Library’s Curators’ Council has developed descriptive metadata fields that will be associated with each educational object published in the library. These fields are designed to facilitate search and discovery of objects by teachers who are increasingly well positioned to use these objects in their instruction due to the increasing presence of school-based makerspaces and the 3D printers, digital die cutters, and other fabrication tools. The publication of these metadata standards makes them available to the members of the educational associations participating in the development of the CAD Library and to other relevant stakeholders for feedback to inform ongoing revisions.more » « less
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This search for magnetic monopoles (MMs) and high electric charge objects (HECOs) with spins 0, , and 1, uses for the first time the full MoEDAL detector, exposed to proton-proton collisions at 13 TeV. The results are interpreted in terms of Drell-Yan and photon-fusion pair production. Mass limits on direct production of MMs of up to 10 Dirac magnetic charges and HECOs with electric charge in the range to , were achieved. The charge limits placed on MM and HECO production are currently the strongest in the world. MoEDAL is the only LHC experiment capable of being directly calibrated for highly ionizing particles using heavy ions and with a detector system dedicated to definitively measuring magnetic charge. Published by the American Physical Society2025more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available February 1, 2026
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