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Generative AI (GenAI) tools are increasingly being adopted in software development as productivity aids, since there is evidence that GenAI tools can improve individual aspects of productivity. However, productivity is multidimensional; accelerating one aspect of work may simply shift effort to another. In this paper, we investigate how GenAI adoption affects different dimensions of developer productivity. We surveyed 415 software practitioners to understand how they perceive productivity changes associated with AI adoption, using the SPACE framework (Satisfaction and well-being, Performance, Activity, Communication and collaboration, and Efficiency and flow). Our results reveal systematic redistribution of effort across SPACE dimensions. While frequent GenAI users reported faster task completion and higher output volume, these gains were offset by increased code review burden, persistent cognitive load from output verification, and unchanged collaboration patterns. We further provide an empirical mapping between the challenges perceived by developers and potential strategies to mitigate them. Overall, our findings suggest that, at the current stage of GenAI adoption, perceived productivity gains may be spurious -- surface-level acceleration, often accompanied by redistributed effort and hidden costs.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available July 5, 2027
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available March 23, 2027
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Open Source Software (OSS) communities face a wave of uncertainty as Generative AI (GenAI) rapidly transforms how software is created, maintained, and governed. Without clear frameworks, communities risk being overwhelmed by the complexity and ambiguity introduced by GenAI, threatening the collaborative ethos that underpins OSS. To address this gap, we present a Socio-Technical System (STS)-guided conceptual framework that applies McLuhan's Tetrad as an analytic lens to articulate how GenAI reshapes the socio-technical dynamics of OSS development. Through a scenario-based exploration across four components of the STS-guided framework—software practices, documentation, community engagement, and governance—we identify plausible socio-technical impacts and outline a corresponding Roadmap for sustaining OSS communities in the Age of GenAI. This Roadmap will enable OSS researchers and practitioners to interpret emerging transformations, anticipate challenges, and design interventions that foster long-term community resilience. By adopting this framework, OSS leaders and researchers can proactively shape the future of their ecosystems, rather than simply reacting to technological upheaval.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available January 19, 2027
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2026
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The soaring drug overdose crisis in the United States has claimed more than half a million lives in the past decade and remains a major public health threat. The ability to predict drug overdose deaths at the county level can help local communities develop action plans in response to emerging changes. Applying off-the-shelf machine learning algorithms for prediction can be challenging due to the heterogeneous risk profiles of the counties and suppressed data in common publicly available data sources. To fill these gaps, we develop a cluster-aware supervised learning (CASL) framework to enhance the prediction of county-level drug overdose deaths. This CASL model simultaneously clusters counties into groups based on geographical and socioeconomic characteristics and minimizes the loss function that accounts for suppressed values and cluster-specific regularization. Our computational study uses real-world data from 2010 to 2021, focusing on the ten states most severely impacted by the drug overdose crisis. The results demonstrate that our proposed CASL framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods by achieving a superior balance in prediction accuracy for both unsuppressed and suppressed observations. The proposed model also identifies different clusters of counties, capturing heterogeneous patterns of overdose mortality among counties of diverse characteristics.more » « less
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Open-source software (OSS) community managers face significant challenges in retaining contributors, as they must monitor activity and engagement while navigating complex dynamics of collaboration. Current tools designed for managing contributor retention (e.g., dashboards) fall short by providing retrospective rather than predictive insights to identify potential disengagement early. Without understanding how to anticipate and prevent disengagement, new solutions risk burdening community managers rather than supporting retention management. Following the Design Science Research paradigm, we employed a mixed-methods approach for problem identification and solution design to address contributor retention. To identify the challenges hindering retention management in OSS, we conducted semi-structured interviews, a multi-vocal literature review, and community surveys. Then through an iterative build-evaluate cycle, we developed and refined strategies for diagnosing retention risks and informing engagement efforts. We operationalized these strategies into a web-based prototype, incorporating feedback from 100+ OSS practitioners, and conducted an in situ evaluation across two OSS communities. Our study offers (1) empirical insights into the challenges of contributor retention management in OSS, (2) actionable strategies that support OSS community managers’ retention efforts, and (3) a practical framework for future research in developing or validating theories about OSS sustainability.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available September 22, 2026
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available October 2, 2026
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Mentorship in open source software (OSS) is a vital, multifaceted process that includes onboarding newcomers, fostering skill development, and enhancing community building. This study examines task-focused mentoring strategies that help mentees complete their tasks and the ideal personal qualities and outcomes of good mentorship in OSS communities. We conducted two surveys to gather contributor perceptions: the first survey, with 70 mentors, mapped 17 mentoring challenges to 21 strategies that help support mentees. The second survey, with 85 contributors, assessed the importance of personal qualities and ideal mentorship outcomes. Our findings not only provide actionable strategies to help mentees overcome challenges and become successful contributors but also guide current and future mentors and OSS communities in understanding the personal qualities that are the cornerstone of good mentorship and the outcomes that mentor-mentee pairs should aspire to achieve.more » « less
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