Machine learning‐based approaches demonstrate a significant potential in radar quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) applications. In contrast to conventional methods that depend on local raindrop size distributions, deep learning (DL) can establish an effective mapping from three‐dimensional radar observations to ground rain rates. However, the lack of transparency in DL models poses challenges toward understanding the underlying physical mechanisms that drive their outcomes. This study aims to develop a DL‐based QPE system and provide a physical explanation of radar precipitation estimation process. This research is designed by employing a deep neural network consisting of two modules. The first module is a quantitative precipitation estimation network that has the capability to learn precipitation patterns and spatial distribution from multidimensional polarimetric radar observations. The second module introduces a quantitative precipitation estimation shapley additive explanations method to quantify the influence of each radar observable on the model estimate across various precipitation intensities.
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Abstract -
Real-time and accurate precipitation estimation is critical for environmental protection and water resources management. Compared to traditional methods, i.e., radar reflectivity (Z) and rainfall rate (R) relations, relying on local raindrop size distributions, the deep learning model can fit the functional relationship between radar observations and rainfall rate measurements. However, the black-box nature of deep learning models makes it difficult to explain the physical mechanisms behind their results. To address this problem, this study proposes DQPENet, a deep learning model for polarimetric radar QPE utilizing dense blocks. We employ a permutation test to understand the relative importance of different radar data input variables. Additionally, we propose a regression importance value (RIV) method for the precipitation estimation task to visualize feature importance regions. Our experimental results show that radar reflectivity and specific differential phase at the lowest elevation angle are the two most important observables for the model’s precipitation estimation. Furthermore, we find that radar data closer to the rain gauge are more influential on the model’s results, indicating that the deep learning model is able to capture the underlying physical mechanism of atmospheric data.more » « less
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Accurate estimation of surface precipitation with high spatial and temporal resolution is critical for decision making regarding severe weather and water resources management. Polarimetric weather radar is the main operational instrument used for quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE). However, conventional parametric radar QPE algorithms such as the radar reflectivity (Z) and rain rate (R) relations cannot fully represent clouds and precipitation dynamics due to their dependency on local raindrop size distributions and the inherent parameterization errors. This article develops four deep learning (DL) models for polarimetric radar QPE (i.e., RQPENetD1, RQPENetD2, RQPENetV, RQPENetR) using different core building blocks. In particular, multi-dimensional polarimetric radar observations are utilized as input and surface gauge measurements are used as training labels. The feasibility and performance of these DL models are demonstrated and quantified using U.S. Weather Surveillance Radar - 1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) observations near Melbourne, Florida. The experimental results show that the dense blocks-based models (i.e., RQPENetD1 and RQPENetD2) have better performance than residual blocks, RepVGG blocks-based models (i.e., RQPENetR and RQPENetV) and five traditional Z-R relations. RQPENetD1 has the best quantitative performance scores, with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.58 mm, root mean squared error (RMSE) of 2.68 mm, normalized standard error (NSE) of 26%, and correlation of 0.92 for hourly rainfall estimates using independent rain gauge data as references. These results suggest that deep learning performs well in mapping the connection between polarimetric radar observations aloft and surface rainfall.more » « less
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Non-stoichiometric perovskite oxides have been studied as a new family of redox oxides for solar thermochemical hydrogen (STCH) production owing to their favourable thermodynamic properties. However, conventional perovskite oxides suffer from limited phase stability and kinetic properties, and poor cyclability. Here, we report a strategy of introducing A-site multi-principal-component mixing to develop a high-entropy perovskite oxide, (La1/6Pr1/6Nd1/6Gd1/6Sr1/6Ba1/6)MnO3 (LPNGSB_Mn), which shows desirable thermodynamic and kinetics properties as well as excellent phase stability and cycling durability. LPNGSB_Mn exhibits enhanced hydrogen production (∼77.5 mmol/mol-oxide) compared to (La2/3Sr1/3)MnO3 (∼53.5 mmol / mol-oxide) in a short 1 hour redox duration and high STCH and phase stability for 50 cycles. LPNGSB_Mn possesses a moderate enthalpy of reduction (252.51–296.32 kJ / mol-oxide), a high entropy of reduction (126.95–168.85 J / mol-oxide), and fast surface oxygen exchange kinetics. All A-site cations do not show observable valence changes during the reduction and oxidation processes. This research preliminarily explores the use of one A-site high-entropy perovskite oxide for STCH.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available February 13, 2025
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Plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) is a noninvasive biomarker for cell death of all organs. Deciphering the tissue origin of cfDNA can reveal abnormal cell death because of diseases, which has great clinical potential in disease detection and monitoring. Despite the great promise, the sensitive and accurate quantification of tissue-derived cfDNA remains challenging to existing methods due to the limited characterization of tissue methylation and the reliance on unsupervised methods. To fully exploit the clinical potential of tissue-derived cfDNA, here we present one of the largest comprehensive and high-resolution methylation atlas based on 521 noncancer tissue samples spanning 29 major types of human tissues. We systematically identified fragment-level tissue-specific methylation patterns and extensively validated them in orthogonal datasets. Based on the rich tissue methylation atlas, we develop the first supervised tissue deconvolution approach, a deep-learning-powered model, cfSort , for sensitive and accurate tissue deconvolution in cfDNA. On the benchmarking data, cfSort showed superior sensitivity and accuracy compared to the existing methods. We further demonstrated the clinical utilities of cfSort with two potential applications: aiding disease diagnosis and monitoring treatment side effects. The tissue-derived cfDNA fraction estimated from cfSort reflected the clinical outcomes of the patients. In summary, the tissue methylation atlas and cfSort enhanced the performance of tissue deconvolution in cfDNA, thus facilitating cfDNA-based disease detection and longitudinal treatment monitoring.more » « less