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Free, publicly-accessible full text available April 1, 2027
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 15, 2026
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Abstract The Western Antarctic Peninsula is undergoing rapid environmental change. Regional warming is causing increased glacial meltwater discharge, but the ecological impact of this meltwater over large spatiotemporal scales is not well understood. Here, we leverage 20 years of remote sensing data, reanalysis products, and field observations to assess the effects of sea surface glacial meltwater on phytoplankton biomass and highlight its importance as a key environmental driver for this region’s productive ecosystem. We find a strong correlation between meltwater and phytoplankton chlorophyll-a across multiple time scales and datasets. We attribute this relationship to nutrient fertilization by glacial meltwater, with potential additional contribution from surface ocean stabilization associated with sea-ice presence. While high phytoplankton biomass typically follows prolonged winter sea-ice seasons and depends on the interplay between light and nutrient limitation, our results indicate that the positive effects of increased glacial meltwater on phytoplankton communities likely mitigate the negative impact of sea-ice loss in this region in recent years. Our findings underscore the critical need to consider glacial meltwater as a key ecological driver in polar coastal ecosystems.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2026
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Abstract Carbon export driven by submesoscale, eddy‐associated vertical velocities (“eddy subduction”), and particularly its seasonality, remains understudied, leaving a gap in our understanding of ocean carbon sequestration. Here, we assess mechanisms controlling eddy subduction's spatial and seasonal patterns using 15 years of observations from BGC‐Argo floats in the Southern Ocean. We identify signatures of eddy subduction as subsurface anomalies in temperature‐salinity and oxygen. The anomalies are spatially concentrated near weakly stratified areas and regions with strong lateral buoyancy gradients diagnosed from satellite altimetry, particularly in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current's standing meanders. We use bio‐optical ratios, specifically the chlorophyllato particulate backscatter ratio (Chl/bbp) to find that eddy subduction is most active in the spring and early summer, with freshly exported material associated with seasonally weak vertical stratification and increasing surface biomass. Climate change is increasing ocean stratification globally, which may weaken eddy subduction's carbon export potential.more » « less
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The Southern Ocean plays a vital role in global CO2uptake, but the magnitude and even the sign of the flux remain uncertain, and the influence of phytoplankton phenology is underexplored. This study focuses on the West Antarctic Peninsula, a region experiencing rapid climate change, to examine shifts in seasonal carbon uptake. Using 20 years of in situ air‐sea CO2flux and satellite‐derived Chlorophyll‐a, we observe that the seasonal cycles of both air‐sea CO2flux and Chlorophyll‐a intensify poleward. The amplitude of the seasonal cycle of the non‐thermal component of surface ocean pCO2increases with increasing latitude, while the amplitude of the thermal component remains relatively stable. Pronounced biological uptake occurs over the shelf in austral summer despite reduced CO2solubility in warmer waters, which typically limits carbon uptake through physical processes. These findings underscore the prominence of biological mechanisms in regulating carbon fluxes in this rapidly changing region.more » « less
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Browman, Howard (Ed.)Abstract Over the last 30 years, ocean sciences have been undergoing a technological revolution. Changes include the transition of autonomous platforms from being interesting engineering projects to being critical tools for scientists studying a range of processes at sea. My career has benefitted immensely from these technical innovations, allowing me to be at sea (virtually) 365 days a year and operate ocean networks globally. While these technical innovations have opened many research doors, many aspects of oceanography are unchanged. In my experience, working/talking/scheming with scientists is most effective face-to-face. Despite the growing capabilities of robotic platforms, we will still need to go to sea on ships to conduct critical experiments. As the responsibilities of scientists expand with mandated outreach efforts, I strongly urge young scientists to leverage the expertise of Broader Impact professionals, who are increasingly available to our community, in order to maximize the effectiveness and efficiency of our outreach efforts. Given the increasing observations of change occurring in the ocean, our work is ever-more important while still being fun. I am blessed to have had a career as an oceanographer exploring this planet.more » « less
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Abstract. As a net source of nutrients fuelling global primary production, changes in Southern Ocean productivity are expected to influence biological carbon storage across the global ocean. Following a high-emission, low-mitigation pathway (SSP5-8.5), we show that primary productivity in the Antarctic zone of the Southern Ocean is predicted to increase by up to 30 % over the 21st century. The ecophysiological response of marine phytoplankton experiencing climate change will be a key determinant in understanding the impact of Southern Ocean productivity shifts on the carbon cycle. Yet, phytoplankton ecophysiology is poorly represented in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) climate models, leading to substantial uncertainty in the representation of its role in carbon sequestration. Here we synthesise the existing spatial and temporal projections of Southern Ocean productivity from CMIP6 models, separated by phytoplankton functional type, and identify key processes where greater observational data coverage can help to improve future model performance. We find substantial variability between models in projections of light concentration (>15 000 (µE m−2 s−1)2) across much of the iron- and light-limited Antarctic zone. Projections of iron and light limitation of phytoplankton vary by up to 10 % across latitudinal zones, while the greatest increases in productivity occurs close to the coast. Temperature, pH and nutrients are less spatially variable – projections for 2090–2100 under SSP5-8.5 show zonally averaged changes of +1.6 °C and −0.45 pH units and Si* ([Si(OH)4]–[NO3-]) decreases by 8.5 µmol L−1. Diatoms and picophytoplankton and/or miscellaneous phytoplankton are equally responsible for driving productivity increases across the subantarctic and transitional zones, but picophytoplankton and miscellaneous phytoplankton increase at a greater rate than diatoms in the Antarctic zone. Despite the variability in productivity with different phytoplankton types, we show that the most complex models disagree on the ecological mechanisms behind these productivity changes. We propose that a sampling approach targeting the regions with the greatest rates of climate-driven change in ocean biogeochemistry and community assemblages would help to resolve the empirical principles underlying the phytoplankton community structure in the Southern Ocean.more » « less
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Abstract In the Southern Ocean, phytoplankton are critical drivers of biogeochemical cycling and food web dynamics, and show sensitivity to shifting climates. Along the West Antarctic Peninsula, climate‐driven variations in sea ice and hydrography have been linked to long‐term changes in summer phytoplankton productivity. Such changes are hypothesized to reflect decadal shifts in algal light environments, but diagnostic evidence of this light‐dependent response is limited. Using a 27‐yr timeseries of summer phytoplankton pigments and productivity collected along the West Antarctic Peninsula by the Palmer Long Term Ecological Research (LTER) program, we quantified trends in surface phytoplankton photophysiology, productivity, and composition in response to environmental change. Our results revealed a decadal doubling in proportions of phytoplankton photoprotective pigments correlated with long‐term shoaling and strengthening of mixed layer depths. This biophysical signature is consistent with photophysiological response to increased light supply, signifying a long‐term shift in light environments for surface phytoplankton. The long‐term change in community pigment signature could not be explained by trends in phytoplankton composition alone, indicating a key role of photoacclimation. Phytoplankton community biomass, productivity, and production efficiency (chlorophyll‐normalized productivity) were similarly correlated to upper ocean structure and increased decadally, demonstrating a functional benefit from enhanced light availability. These physiological findings support the hypothesis that decadal trends in summer production along the peninsula are light‐dependent. Such large‐scale shifts in community pigment signature, linked to oceanographic forcing, suggest that photophysiological indices provide useful insights into how shifting climates will influence phytoplankton communities.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available February 1, 2027
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In the Western Antarctic Peninsula (WAP), marine plankton dynamics are tightly linked to the interannual variability in environmental conditions, including phenological shifts in sea‐ice seasonality. To explore these linkages, we use a 1‐dimensional vertical ocean‐ice‐ecosystem model (KPP‐Eco‐Ice, or KEI) that simulates physical and ecosystem conditions at a continental shelf mooring location in the Palmer Long Term Ecological Research program sampling grid. KEI allows for year‐round examination of the ecosystem in a region where in situ observations on the shelf are limited to January. Comparisons are made between seasonal sea‐ice retreat, mixed layer depth, primary productivity, and phytoplankton relative abundance, grazing, and loss rates. KEI successfully captures seasonal patterns in the WAP, demonstrating that total seasonal primary production was highest following a winter with late sea‐ice retreat. Stability in the surface mixed layer enables high photosynthetic rates by alleviating light limitation, while wind‐induced surface mixing results in lower phytoplankton production and biomass in years with early sea‐ice retreat. However, mixing reduces iron limitation in surface waters, which may influence phytoplankton species composition. Small, non‐diatom phytoplankton are better‐adapted to high light and low iron conditions, thriving longer in a year with late sea‐ice retreat and higher seasonal primary production, while larger diatoms are more abundant in the years with early sea‐ice retreat and lower seasonal production. These findings have implications for grazer populations and subsequent carbon export from the surface to depth in the WAP region. This study validates the role that sea ice plays in shaping Antarctic ecosystem dynamics.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available April 1, 2027
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