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Abstract The ocean carbon reservoir controls atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂) on millennial timescales. Radiocarbon (¹⁴C) anomalies in eastern North Pacific sediments suggest a significant release of geologic¹⁴C‐free carbon at the end of the last ice age but without evidence of ocean acidification. Using inverse carbon cycle modeling optimized with reconstructed atmospheric CO₂and¹⁴C/C, we develop first‐order constraints on geologic carbon and alkalinity release over the last 17.5 thousand years. We construct scenarios allowing the release of 850–2,400 Pg C, with a maximum release rate of 1.3 Pg C yr⁻¹, all of which require an approximate equimolar alkalinity release. These neutralized carbon addition scenarios have minimal impacts on the simulated marine carbon cycle and atmospheric CO₂, thereby demonstrating safe and effective ocean carbon storage. This deglacial phenomenon could serve as a natural analog to the successful implementation of gigaton‐scale ocean alkalinity enhancement, a promising marine carbon dioxide removal method. 

Abstract Measuring, reporting, and verification (MRV) of ocean-based carbon dioxide removal (CDR) presents challenges due to the dynamic nature of the ocean and the complex processes influencing marine carbonate chemistry. Given these challenges, finding the optimal sampling strategies and suite of parameters to be measured is a timely research question. While traditional carbonate parameters such as total alkalinity (TA), dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), pH, and seawater pCO2 are commonly considered, exploring the potential of carbon isotopes for quantifying additional CO2 uptake remains a relatively unexplored research avenue. In this study, we use a coupled physical-biogeochemical model of the California Current System (CCS) to run a suite of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement (OAE) simulations. The physical circulation for the CCS is generated using a nested implementation of the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) with an outer domain of 1/10 ̊ (~10 km) and an inner domain of 1/30 ̊ (~3 km) resolution. The biogeochemical model, NEMUCSC, is a customized version of the North Pacific Ecosystem Model for Understanding Regional Oceanography (NEMURO) that includes carbon cycling and carbon isotopes. The CCS is one of four global eastern boundary upwelling systems characterized by high biological activity and CO2 concentrations. Consequently, the CCS represents an essential test case for investigating the efficacy and potential side effects of OAE deployments. The study aims to address two key questions: (1) the relative merit of OAE to counter ocean acidification versus the additional sequestration of CO2 from the atmosphere, and (2) the footprint of potentially harmful seawater chemistry adjacent to OAE deployments. We plan to leverage these high-resolution model results to competitively evaluate different MRV strategies, with a specific focus on analyzing the spatiotemporal distribution of carbon isotopic signatures following OAE. In this talk, we will showcase our initial results and discuss challenges in integrating high-resolution regional modeling into models of the global carbon cycle. More broadly, this work aims to provide insights into the plausibility of OAE as a climate solution that maintains ocean health and to inform accurate quantification of carbon uptake for MRV purposes. https://agu.confex.com/agu/OSM24/prelim.cgi/Paper/1491096 

The observation of extremely low radiocarbon content / old radiocarbon ages (>4000 years old) in the intermediate-depth ocean during the last ice age draws attention to our incomplete understanding of ocean carbon cycling. For example, glacial-interglacial seawater 14C anomalies near the Gulf of California have been explained by both the advection from a 14C-depleted abyssal source and local geologic carbon flux. To provide insight to this the origin of the seawater 14C anomalies, we have produced several new records of glacial-interglacial intermediate water (i.e., 14C, δ11B, δ18O, and δ13C) in waters that are “upstream” and “downstream” of the Gulf of California. These observations plus geochemical modeling allow us to: (1) Answer whether the old seawater 14C ages are advected or produced locally; (2) Identify the approximate chemical make-up of this carbon; and (3) Consider the role of known sedimentary processes in this carbon flux to the ocean. (Note that several sites have age model controls based on terrestrial plant 14C ages, providing more confidence in our results.) Our new measurements and modeling indicate that the well-established >4000-year-old seawater 14C anomalies observed near known seafloor volcanism in the Gulf of California are not present “upstream,” indicating that this carbon flux results from a “local” geologic carbon. Furthermore, based on our new benthic foraminifera δ11B measurements, this local carbon Blux does not appear to affect seawater pH. Finally, we suggest several potential geologic carbon source(s) that could explain the anomalously old seawater 14C ages, the relatively unremarkable changes in seawater δ13C, and the essentially negligible change in seawater pH. 

Abstract Measuring, reporting, and verification (MRV) of ocean-based carbon dioxide removal (CDR) presents challenges due to the dynamic nature of the ocean and the complex processes influencing marine carbonate chemistry. Given these challenges, finding the optimal sampling strategies and suite of parameters to be measured is a timely research question. While traditional carbonate parameters such as total alkalinity (TA), dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), pH, and seawater pCO2 are commonly considered, exploring the potential of carbon isotopes for quantifying additional CO2 uptake remains a relatively unexplored research avenue. In this study, we use a coupled physical-biogeochemical model of the California Current System (CCS) to run a suite of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement (OAE) simulations. The physical circulation for the CCS is generated using a nested implementation of the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) with an outer domain of 1/10 ̊ (~10 km) and an inner domain of 1/30 ̊ (~3 km) resolution. The biogeochemical model, NEMUCSC, is a customized version of the North Pacific Ecosystem Model for Understanding Regional Oceanography (NEMURO) that includes carbon cycling and carbon isotopes. The CCS is one of four global eastern boundary upwelling systems characterized by high biological activity and CO2 concentrations. Consequently, the CCS represents an essential test case for investigating the efficacy and potential side effects of OAE deployments. The study aims to address two key questions: (1) the relative merit of OAE to counter ocean acidification versus the additional sequestration of CO2 from the atmosphere, and (2) the footprint of potentially harmful seawater chemistry adjacent to OAE deployments. We plan to leverage these high-resolution model results to competitively evaluate different MRV strategies, with a specific focus on analyzing the spatiotemporal distribution of carbon isotopic signatures following OAE. In this talk, we will showcase our initial results and discuss challenges in integrating high-resolution regional modeling into models of the global carbon cycle. More broadly, this work aims to provide insights into the plausibility of OAE as a climate solution that maintains ocean health and to inform accurate quantification of carbon uptake for MRV purposes. https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm23/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/1437343 

A compilation of radiocarbon measurements is used to characterize deep-sea overturning since the last ice age. 

While a reinvigoration of ocean circulation and CO 2 marine geologic carbon release over the last 20,000 years. Much of this evidence points to outgassing is the leading explanation for atmospheric CO rise since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), there is also evidence of regions of the mid-depth Pacific Ocean, where multiple radiocarbon (1 4 C) records show anomalously low 14 C/C values, potentially caused by the addition of carbon [1,2]. To better constrain this geologic carbon release hypothesis, we aim to place 14 C-free geologic an upper bound limit on the amount of carbon that may have been added, in addition to the geochemical pathway of that carbon. To do so, we numerical invert a carbon cycle model based on observational atmospheric CO 2 and 14 C records. Given these observational constraints, we use data assimilation techniques and an optimization algorithm to calculate the rate of carbon addition and its alkalinity-to-carbon ratio (R ) over the last 20,000 A/C years. Using the modeled planetary radiocarbon budget calculated in Hain et al. [3], we find observations allow for only ~300 Pg of carbon to be added, as a majority of the deglacial atmospheric 14 C decline is already explained by magnetic field strength changes and ocean circulation changes [3]. However, when we adjust the initial state of the model by increasing C by 75‰ to match the observational C records, we find that observations 14 14 allow for ~3500 Pg of carbon addition with an average R of ~1.4. A/C These results allow for the possibility of a large release of 14C-free geologic carbon, which could provide local and regional 14C anomalies, as the records have in the Pacific [1,2]. As this geological carbon was added with a RA/C of ~1.4, these results also imply that 14C evidence for significant geologic carbon release since the LGM may not be taken as contributing to deglacial CO2 rise, unless there is evidence for significant local acidification and corrosion of seafloor sediments. If the geologic carbon cycle is indeed more dynamic than previously thought, we may also need to rethink the approach to estimate the land/ocean carbon repartitioning from the deglacial stable carbon isotope budget. [1] Rafter et al. (2019), GRL 46(23), 13950–13960. [2] Ronge et al. (2016), Nature Communications 7(1), 11487. [3] Hain et al. (2014), EPSL 394, 198–208.