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Abstract Plastic litter is a globally pervasive pollutant. Storms are likely key drivers of plastic transport to oceans, but plastic transport during rising and falling limbs of storm hydrographs is rarely measured. Measurements of plastic movement throughout individual storms will improve watershed models of plastic dynamics. We used cameras to quantify macroplastic movement (i.e., particles > 5 mm) in rivers before, during, and after individual storms (N = 18) at 10 sites within three North American watersheds. Most storms showed no difference in macroplastic transport between rising and falling hydrograph limbs or evidence of hysteresis (transport rate range = 0–236 items/30 min). Total macroplastic exported during storm events was positively related to storm magnitude and was greatest at more urban sites. Thus, macroplastic transport during storms was driven by storm size and land use. The quantitative relationships between macroplastic movement and hydrology will improve discharge‐weighted calculations of macroplastic transport which can benefit modeling, monitoring, and mitigation efforts. Practitioner PointsMacroplastic particles (i.e, > 5 mm) are both retained in urban streams (e.g., in debris dams), and move downstream during baseflow and stormflow conditionsStorm flows are key periods of macroplastic transport: transport rates are higher on both rising and falling limbs of storm hydrographs relative to baseflow.The amount of macroplastics moving during storm flows is positively related to storm intensity.The predictive relationships generated between storm flow and macroplastic transport will improve estimates of annual export, and policies for macroplastic pollution reduction. 

Abstract Ocean warming caused by global climate change is driving range expansions and shifts in marine species. The lady crab Ovalipes ocellatus (Herbst, 1799) is generally found south of Cape Cod, Massachusetts, USA with a disjunct population in the southern Gulf of St. Lawrence, Canada, but absent in the Gulf of Maine and Bay of Fundy. Here we present trawl survey data, recent crowd-sourced observations, and temperature data that suggest a range expansion of O. ocellatus north of Cape Cod into the Gulf of Maine and Bay of Fundy after a marine heat wave in 2012. Crowd-sourced observations of lady crabs increased in the Gulf of Maine at the same time that abundances surged after 2000. In the Gulf of Maine, O. ocellatus was found as far north as Freeport, Maine (43°48′17.136″N, 70°6′30.9594″W) and in the Bay of Fundy as far north as Alma, New Brunswick, Canada (45°36′ 13.6794″N, 64°56′29.184″W). We also extend the southern limit of O. ocellatus to St. Augustine, Florida, USA (29°42′9.432″N, 81°13′56.028″ W). The recent observations of O. ocellatus in the northwestern Atlantic and higher abundances combined with continued warming in this area may signal a permanent expansion of this species. If so, a key goal for ecologists and managers will be to understand the effects of O. ocellatus on food webs and fisheries in the Gulf of Maine and Bay of Fundy. 

Abstract Hyporheic zones regulate biogeochemical processes in streams and rivers, but high spatiotemporal heterogeneity makes it difficult to predict how these processes scale from individual reaches to river basins. Recent work applying allometric scaling (i.e., power‐law relationships between size and function) to river networks provides a new paradigm for understanding cumulative hyporheic biogeochemical processes. We used previously published model predictions of reach‐scale hyporheic aerobic respiration to explore patterns in allometric scaling across two climatically divergent basins with differing characteristics in the Pacific Northwest, United States. In the model, hydrologic exchange fluxes (HEFs) regulate hyporheic respiration, so we examined how HEFs might influence allometric scaling of respiration. We found consistent scaling behaviors where HEFs were either very low or very high, but differences between basins when HEFs were moderate. Our findings provide initial model‐generated hypotheses for factors influencing allometric scaling of hyporheic respiration. These hypotheses can be used to optimize new data generation efforts aimed at developing predictive understanding of allometries that can, in turn, be used to scale biogeochemical dynamics across watersheds. 

ABSTRACT Experiments have long been the gold standard for causal inference in Ecology. As Ecology tackles progressively larger problems, however, we are moving beyond the scales at which randomised controlled experiments are feasible. To answer causal questions at scale, we need to also use observational data —something Ecologists tend to view with great scepticism. The major challenge using observational data for causal inference is confounding variables: variables affecting both a causal variable and response of interest. Unmeasured confounders—known or unknown—lead to statistical bias, creating spurious correlations and masking true causal relationships. To combat this omitted variable bias, other disciplines have developed rigorous approaches for causal inference from observational data that flexibly control for broad suites of confounding variables. We show how ecologists can harness some of these methods—causal diagrams to identify confounders coupled with nested sampling and statistical designs—to reduce risks of omitted variable bias. Using an example of estimating warming effects on snails, we show how current methods in Ecology (e.g., mixed models) produce incorrect inferences due to omitted variable bias and how alternative methods can eliminate it, improving causal inferences with weaker assumptions. Our goal is to expand tools for causal inference using observational and imperfect experimental data in Ecology. 

Abstract To save saltmarshes and their valuable ecosystem services from sea level rise, it is crucial to understand their natural ability to gain elevation by sediment accretion. In that context, a widely accepted paradigm is that dense vegetation favors sediment accretion and hence saltmarsh resilience to sea level rise. Here, however, we reveal how dense vegetation can inhibit sediment accretion on saltmarsh platforms. Using a process‐based modeling approach to simulate biogeomorphic development of typical saltmarsh landscapes, we identify two key mechanisms by which vegetation hinders sediment transport from tidal channels toward saltmarsh interiors. First, vegetation concentrates tidal flow and sediment transport inside channels, reducing sediment supply to platforms. Second, vegetation enhances sediment deposition near channels, limiting sediment availability for platform interiors. Our findings suggest that the resilience of saltmarshes to sea level rise may be more limited than previously thought. 

ABSTRACT Sea level rise and storm surges affect coastal forests along low‐lying shorelines. Salinization and flooding kill trees and favour the encroachment of salt‐tolerant marsh vegetation. The hydrology of this ecological transition is complex and requires a multidisciplinary approach. Sea level rise (press) and storms (pulses) act on different timescales, affecting the forest vegetation in different ways. Salinization can occur either by vertical infiltration during flooding or from the aquifer driven by tides and sea level rise. Here, we detail the ecohydrological processes acting in the critical zone of retreating coastal forests. An increase in sea level has a three‐pronged effect on flooding and salinization: It raises the maximum elevation of storm surges, shifts the freshwater‐saltwater interface inland, and elevates the water table, leading to surface flooding from below. Trees can modify their root systems and local soil hydrology to better withstand salinization. Hydrological stress from intermittent storm surges inhibits tree growth, as evidenced by tree ring analysis. Tree rings also reveal a lag between the time when tree growth significantly slows and when the tree ultimately dies. Tree dieback reduces transpiration, retaining more water in the soil and creating conditions more favourable for flooding. Sedimentation from storm waters combined to organic matter decomposition can change the landscape, affecting flooding and runoff. Our results indicate that only a multidisciplinary approach can fully capture the ecohydrology of retreating forests in a period of accelerated sea level rise. 

Abstract We introduce a new approach to observe the impact of vegetation on tidal flow retardation and retention at large spatial scales. Using radar interferometry and in situ water level gauge measurements during low tide, we find that vegetation in deltaic intertidal zones of the Wax Lake Delta, Louisiana, causes significant tidal distortion with both a delay (between 80 and 140 min) and amplitude reduction (~ 20 cm). The natural vegetation front delays the ebb tide, which increases the minimum water level and hydro‐period inside the deltaic islands, resulting in better conditions for wetland species colonizing low elevations. This positive feedback between vegetation and hydraulics demonstrates the self‐organization functionality of vegetation in the geomorphological evolution of deltas, which contributes to deltaic stability. 

Abstract Mangrove forests are critical coastal ecosystems that provide great socio‐ecological services, which are also highly vulnerable to climate change, particularly to sea level rise (SLR). Here we assess changes in mangrove forests in four distinct river/tide/wave‐dominant large deltas along the Indo‐Pacific coast based on 1,336 remote sensing images by machine learning techniques. We find that mangroves are migrating seaward at a rate of 18% ± 12% m/yr, which can offset landward mangroves loss, 67% of which caused by land use conversion. The fact that mangroves are expanding seaward with accretion rates exceeding SLR suggests that climate change has not yet triggered substantial loss in deltaic mangrove forests. Assuming that present environmental conditions do not change and that sediment and organic deposition in the deltaic topsets match SLR rates, we project that 90% of deltaic mangrove forests may start to retreat after 132–194 years. Early inundation of mangroves will occur in wave‐dominated delta. 

Abstract Planting has been widely adopted to battle the loss of salt marshes and to establish living shorelines. However, the drivers of success in salt marsh planting and their ecological effects are poorly understood at the global scale. Here, we assemble a global database, encompassing 22,074 observations reported in 210 studies, to examine the drivers and impacts of salt marsh planting. We show that, on average, 53% of plantings survived globally, and plant survival and growth can be enhanced by careful design of sites, species selection, and novel planted technologies. Planting enhances shoreline protection, primary productivity, soil carbon storage, biodiversity conservation and fishery production (effect sizes = 0.61, 1.55, 0.21, 0.10 and 1.01, respectively), compared with degraded wetlands. However, the ecosystem services of planted marshes, except for shoreline protection, have not yet fully recovered compared with natural wetlands (effect size = −0.25, 95% CI −0.29, −0.22). Fortunately, the levels of most ecological functions related to climate change mitigation and biodiversity increase with plantation age when compared with natural wetlands, and achieve equivalence to natural wetlands after 5–25 years. Overall, our results suggest that salt marsh planting could be used as a strategy to enhance shoreline protection, biodiversity conservation and carbon sequestration. 

Abstract Flooding and salinization triggered by storm surges threaten the survival of coastal forests. After a storm surge event, soil salinity can increase by evapotranspiration or decrease by rainfall dilution. Here we used a 1D hydrological model to study the combined effect of evapotranspiration and rainfall on coastal vegetated areas. Our results shed light on tree root uptake and salinity infiltration feedback as a function of soil characteristics. As evaporation increases from 0 to 2.5 mm/day, soil salinity reaches 80 ppt in both sandy and clay loam soils in the first 5 cm of soil depth. Transpiration instead involves the root zone located in the first 40 cm of depth, affecting salinization in a complex way. In sandy loam soils, storm surge events homogeneously salinize the root zone, while in clay loam soils salinization is stratified, partially affecting tree roots. Soil salinity stratification combined with low permeability maintain root uptakes in clay loam soils 4/5‐time higher with respect to sandy loam ones. When cumulative rainfall is larger than potential evapotranspiration ET_p(ET_p/Rainfall ratios lower than 1), dilution promotes fast recovery to pre‐storm soil salinity conditions, especially in sandy loam soils. Field data collected after two storm surge events support the results obtained. Electrical conductivity (a proxy for salinity) increases when the ratio ET_p/Rainfall is around 1.76, while recovery occurs when the ratio is around 0.92. In future climate change scenarios with higher temperatures and storm‐surge frequency, coastal vegetation will be compromised, because of soil salinity values much higher than tolerable thresholds.