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Abstract Recent study indicates that the non-instantaneous interaction of convection and circulation is essential for evolution of large-scale convective systems. It is incorporated into cumulus parameterization (CP) by relating cloud-base mass flux of shallow convection to a composite of subcloud moisture convergence in the past 6 h. Three pairs of 19-yr simulations with original and modified CP schemes are conducted in a tropical channel model to verify their ability to reproduce the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO). More coherent tropical precipitation and improved eastward propagation signal are observed in the simulations with the modified CP schemes based on the non-instantaneous interaction. It is found that enhanced feedback between shallow convection and low-level moisture convergence results in amplified shallow convective heating, and then generates reinforced moisture convergence, which transports more moisture upward. The improved simulations of eastward propagation of the MJO are largely attributed to higher specific humidity below 600 hPa in the free troposphere to the east of maximum rainfall center, which is related to stronger boundary layer moisture convergence forced by shallow convection. Large-scale horizontal advection causes asymmetric moisture tendencies relative to rainfall center (positive to the east and negative to the west) and also gives rise to eastward propagation. The zonal advection, especially the advection of anomalous specific humidity by mean zonal wind, is found to dominate the difference of horizontal advection between each pair of simulations. The results indicate the vital importance of non-instantaneous feedback between shallow convection and moisture convergence for convection organization and the eastward MJO propagation.
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The Role of Multiscale Interaction in Tropical Cyclogenesis and Its Predictability in Near-Global Aquaplanet Cloud-Resolving Simulations
Abstract Tropical cyclogenesis (TCG) is a multiscale process that involves interactions between large-scale circulation and small-scale convection. A near-global aquaplanet cloud-resolving model (NGAqua) with 4-km horizontal grid spacing that produces tropical cyclones (TCs) is used to investigate TCG and its predictability. This study analyzes an ensemble of three 20-day NGAqua simulations, with initial white-noise perturbations of low-level humidity. TCs develop spontaneously from the northern edge of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), where large-scale flows and tropical convection provide necessary conditions for barotropic instability. Zonal bands of positive low-level absolute vorticity organize into cyclonic vortices, some of which develop into TCs. A new algorithm is developed to track the cyclonic vortices. A vortex-following framework analysis of the low-level vorticity budget shows that vertical stretching of absolute vorticity due to convective heating contributes positively to the vorticity spinup of the TCs. A case study and composite analyses suggest that sufficient humidity is key for convective development. TCG in these three NGAqua simulations undergoes the same series of interactions. The locations of cyclonic vortices are broadly predetermined by planetary-scale circulation and humidity patterns associated with ITCZ breakdown, which are predictable up to 10 days. Whether and when the cyclonic vortices become TCs depend on the somewhat more random feedback between convection and vorticity.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1912130
- PAR ID:
- 10250123
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
- Volume:
- 77
- Issue:
- 8
- ISSN:
- 0022-4928
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 2847 to 2863
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0021.1
