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1. The Boreal–Arctic Wetland and Lake Dataset (BAWLD)

   https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-5127-2021  

   Olefeldt, David ; Hovemyr, Mikael ; Kuhn, McKenzie A. ; Bastviken, David ; Bohn, Theodore J. ; Connolly, John ; Crill, Patrick ; Euskirchen, Eugénie S. ; Finkelstein, Sarah A. ; Genet, Hélène ; et al ( January 2021 , Earth System Science Data)

   Abstract. Methane emissions from boreal and arctic wetlands, lakes, and rivers areexpected to increase in response to warming and associated permafrost thaw.However, the lack of appropriate land cover datasets for scalingfield-measured methane emissions to circumpolar scales has contributed to alarge uncertainty for our understanding of present-day and future methaneemissions. Here we present the Boreal–Arctic Wetland and Lake Dataset(BAWLD), a land cover dataset based on an expert assessment, extrapolatedusing random forest modelling from available spatial datasets of climate,topography, soils, permafrost conditions, vegetation, wetlands, and surfacewater extents and dynamics. In BAWLD, we estimate the fractional coverage offive wetland, seven lake, and three river classes within 0.5 × 0.5∘ grid cells that cover the northern boreal and tundra biomes(17 % of the global land surface). Land cover classes were defined usingcriteria that ensured distinct methane emissions among classes, as indicatedby a co-developed comprehensive dataset of methane flux observations. InBAWLD, wetlands occupied 3.2 × 106 km2 (14 % of domain)with a 95 % confidence interval between 2.8 and 3.8 × 106 km2. Bog, fen, and permafrost bog were the most abundant wetlandclasses, covering ∼ 28 % each of the total wetland area,while the highest-methane-emitting marsh and tundra wetland classes occupied5 % and 12 %, respectively. Lakes, defined to include all lentic open-waterecosystems regardless of size, covered 1.4 × 106 km2(6 % of domain). Low-methane-emitting large lakes (>10 km2) and glacial lakes jointly represented 78 % of the total lakearea, while high-emitting peatland and yedoma lakes covered 18 % and 4 %,respectively. Small (<0.1 km2) glacial, peatland, and yedomalakes combined covered 17 % of the total lake area but contributeddisproportionally to the overall spatial uncertainty in lake area with a95 % confidence interval between 0.15 and 0.38 × 106 km2. Rivers and streams were estimated to cover 0.12  × 106 km2 (0.5 % of domain), of which 8 % was associated withhigh-methane-emitting headwaters that drain organic-rich landscapes.Distinct combinations of spatially co-occurring wetland and lake classeswere identified across the BAWLD domain, allowing for the mapping of“wetscapes” that have characteristic methane emission magnitudes andsensitivities to climate change at regional scales. With BAWLD, we provide adataset which avoids double-accounting of wetland, lake, and river extentsand which includes confidence intervals for each land cover class. As such,BAWLD will be suitable for many hydrological and biogeochemical modellingand upscaling efforts for the northern boreal and arctic region, inparticular those aimed at improving assessments of current and futuremethane emissions. Data are freely available athttps://doi.org/10.18739/A2C824F9X (Olefeldt et al., 2021). 

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2. Do beaver ponds increase methane emissions along Arctic tundra streams?

   https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acde8e  

   Clark, Jason A. ; Tape, Ken D. ; Baskaran, Latha ; Elder, Clayton ; Miller, Charles ; Miner, Kimberley ; O’Donnell, Jonathan A. ; Jones, Benjamin M. ( July 2023 , Environmental Research Letters)

   Beaver engineering in the Arctic tundra induces hydrologic and geomorphic changes that are favorable to methane (CH₄) production. Beaver-mediated methane emissions are driven by inundation of existing vegetation, conversion from lotic to lentic systems, accumulation of organic rich sediments, elevated water tables, anaerobic conditions, and thawing permafrost. Ground-based measurements of CH₄emissions from beaver ponds in permafrost landscapes are scarce, but hyperspectral remote sensing data (AVIRIS-NG) permit mapping of ‘hotspots’ thought to represent locations of high CH₄emission. We surveyed a 429.5 km²area in Northwestern Alaska using hyperspectral airborne imaging spectroscopy at ∼5 m pixel resolution (14.7 million observations) to examine spatial relationships between CH₄hotspots and 118 beaver ponds. AVIRIS-NG CH₄hotspots covered 0.539% (2.3 km²) of the study area, and were concentrated within 30 m of waterbodies. Comparing beaver ponds to all non-beaver waterbodies (including waterbodies >450 m from beaver-affected water), we found significantly greater CH₄hotspot occurrences around beaver ponds, extending to a distance of 60 m. We found a 51% greater CH₄hotspot occurrence ratio around beaver ponds relative to nearby non-beaver waterbodies. Dammed lake outlets showed no significant differences in CH₄hotspot ratios compared to non-beaver lakes, likely due to little change in inundation extent. The enhancement in AVIRIS-NG CH₄hotspots adjacent to beaver ponds is an example of a new disturbance regime, wrought by an ecosystem engineer, accelerating the effects of climate change in the Arctic. As beavers continue to expand into the Arctic and reshape lowland ecosystems, we expect continued wetland creation, permafrost thaw and alteration of the Arctic carbon cycle, as well as myriad physical and biological changes.

    

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3. Current and Future Global Lake Methane Emissions: A Process‐Based Modeling Analysis

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JG007137  

   Zhuang, Qianlai ; Guo, Mingyang ; Melack, John M. ; Lan, Xin ; Tan, Zeli ; Oh, Youmi ; Leung, L. Ruby ( March 2023 , Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences)

   Freshwater ecosystem contributions to the global methane budget remains the most uncertain among natural sources. With warming and accompanying carbon release from thawed permafrost and thermokarst lake expansion, the increase of methane emissions could be large. However, the impact and relative importance of various factors related to warming remain uncertain. Based on diverse lake characteristics incorporated in modeling and observational data, we calibrate and verify a lake biogeochemistry model. The model is then applied to estimate global lake methane emissions and examine the impacts of temperature increase for the first and the last decades of the 21st century under different climate scenarios. We find that current emissions are 24.0 ± 8.4 Tg CH₄ yr⁻¹from lakes larger than 0.1 km², accounting for 11% of the global total natural source as estimated based on atmospheric inversion. Future projections under the RCP8.5 scenario suggest a 58%–86% growth in emissions from lakes. Our model sensitivity analysis indicates that additional carbon substrates from thawing permafrost may enhance methane production under warming in the Arctic. Warming enhanced methane oxidation in lake water can be an effective sink to reduce the net release from global lakes.

    

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4. Decadal-scale hotspot methane ebullition within lakes following abrupt permafrost thaw

   https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc848  

   Walter Anthony, K. M. ; Lindgren, P. ; Hanke, P. ; Engram, M. ; Anthony, P. ; Daanen, R. P. ; Bondurant, A. ; Liljedahl, A. K. ; Lenz, J. ; Grosse, G. ; et al ( February 2021 , Environmental Research Letters)

   Thermokarst lakes accelerate deep permafrost thaw and the mobilization of previously frozen soil organic carbon. This leads to microbial decomposition and large releases of carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH₄) that enhance climate warming. However, the time scale of permafrost-carbon emissions following thaw is not well known but is important for understanding how abrupt permafrost thaw impacts climate feedback. We combined field measurements and radiocarbon dating of CH₄ebullition with (a) an assessment of lake area changes delineated from high-resolution (1–2.5 m) optical imagery and (b) geophysical measurements of thaw bulbs (taliks) to determine the spatiotemporal dynamics of hotspot-seep CH₄ebullition in interior Alaska thermokarst lakes. Hotspot seeps are characterized as point-sources of high ebullition that release¹⁴C-depleted CH₄from deep (up to tens of meters) within lake thaw bulbs year-round. Thermokarst lakes, initiated by a variety of factors, doubled in number and increased 37.5% in area from 1949 to 2009 as climate warmed. Approximately 80% of contemporary CH₄hotspot seeps were associated with this recent thermokarst activity, occurring where 60 years of abrupt thaw took place as a result of new and expanded lake areas. Hotspot occurrence diminished with distance from thermokarst lake margins. We attribute older¹⁴C ages of CH₄released from hotspot seeps in older, expanding thermokarst lakes (¹⁴C_CH420 079 ± 1227 years BP, mean ± standard error (s.e.m.) years) to deeper taliks (thaw bulbs) compared to younger¹⁴C_CH4in new lakes (¹⁴C_CH48526 ± 741 years BP) with shallower taliks. We find that smaller, non-hotspot ebullition seeps have younger¹⁴C ages (expanding lakes 7473 ± 1762 years; new lakes 4742 ± 803 years) and that their emissions span a larger historic range. These observations provide a first-order constraint on the magnitude and decadal-scale duration of CH₄-hotspot seep emissions following formation of thermokarst lakes as climate warms.

    

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5. Assessing the Potential for Mobilization of Old Soil Carbon After Permafrost Thaw: A Synthesis of 14 C Measurements From the Northern Permafrost Region

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GB006672  

   Estop‐Aragonés, Cristian ; Olefeldt, David ; Abbott, Benjamin W. ; Chanton, Jeffrey P. ; Czimczik, Claudia I. ; Dean, Joshua F. ; Egan, Jocelyn E. ; Gandois, Laure ; Garnett, Mark H. ; Hartley, Iain P. ; et al ( September 2020 , Global Biogeochemical Cycles)

   The magnitude of future emissions of greenhouse gases from the northern permafrost region depends crucially on the mineralization of soil organic carbon (SOC) that has accumulated over millennia in these perennially frozen soils. Many recent studies have used radiocarbon (¹⁴C) to quantify the release of this “old” SOC as CO₂or CH₄to the atmosphere or as dissolved and particulate organic carbon (DOC and POC) to surface waters. We compiled ~1,900¹⁴C measurements from 51 sites in the northern permafrost region to assess the vulnerability of thawing SOC in tundra, forest, peatland, lake, and river ecosystems. We found that growing season soil¹⁴C‐CO₂emissions generally had a modern (post‐1950s) signature, but that well‐drained, oxic soils had increased CO₂emissions derived from older sources following recent thaw. The age of CO₂and CH₄emitted from lakes depended primarily on the age and quantity of SOC in sediments and on the mode of emission, and indicated substantial losses of previously frozen SOC from actively expanding thermokarst lakes. Increased fluvial export of aged DOC and POC occurred from sites where permafrost thaw caused soil thermal erosion. There was limited evidence supporting release of previously frozen SOC as CO₂, CH₄, and DOC from thawing peatlands with anoxic soils. This synthesis thus suggests widespread but not universal release of permafrost SOC following thaw. We show that different definitions of “old” sources among studies hamper the comparison of vulnerability of permafrost SOC across ecosystems and disturbances. We also highlight opportunities for future¹⁴C studies in the permafrost region.

    

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