In multiple-testing problems, where a large number of hypotheses are tested simultaneously, false discovery rate (FDR) control can be achieved with the well-known Benjamini–Hochberg procedure, which a(0, 1]dapts to the amount of signal in the data, under certain distributional assumptions. Many modifications of this procedure have been proposed to improve power in scenarios where the hypotheses are organized into groups or into a hierarchy, as well as other structured settings. Here we introduce the ‘structure-adaptive Benjamini–Hochberg algorithm’ (SABHA) as a generalization of these adaptive testing methods. The SABHA method incorporates prior information about any predetermined type of structure in the pattern of locations of the signals and nulls within the list of hypotheses, to reweight the p-values in a data-adaptive way. This raises the power by making more discoveries in regions where signals appear to be more common. Our main theoretical result proves that the SABHA method controls the FDR at a level that is at most slightly higher than the target FDR level, as long as the adaptive weights are constrained sufficiently so as not to overfit too much to the data—interestingly, the excess FDR can be related to the Rademacher complexity or Gaussian width of the class from which we choose our data-adaptive weights. We apply this general framework to various structured settings, including ordered, grouped and low total variation structures, and obtain the bounds on the FDR for each specific setting. We also examine the empirical performance of the SABHA method on functional magnetic resonance imaging activity data and on gene–drug response data, as well as on simulated data.
A unified framework for bandit multiple testing
In bandit multiple hypothesis testing, each arm corresponds to a different null hypothesis that we wish to test, and the goal is to design adaptive algorithms that correctly identify large set of interesting arms (true discoveries), while only mistakenly identifying a few uninteresting ones (false discoveries). One common metric in non-bandit multiple testing is the false discovery rate (FDR). We propose a unified, modular framework for bandit FDR control that emphasizes the decoupling of exploration and summarization of evidence. We utilize the powerful martingale-based concept of “e-processes” to ensure FDR control for arbitrary composite nulls, exploration rules and stopping times in generic problem settings. In particular, valid FDR control holds even if the reward distributions of the arms could be dependent, multiple arms may be queried simultaneously, and multiple (cooperating or competing) agents may be querying arms, covering combinatorial semi-bandit type settings as well. Prior work has considered in great detail the setting where each arm’s reward distribution is independent and sub-Gaussian, and a single arm is queried at each step. Our framework recovers matching sample complexity guarantees in this special case, and performs comparably or better in practice. For other settings, sample complexities will depend on the finer details of the problem (composite nulls being tested, exploration algorithm, data dependence structure, stopping rule) and we do not explore these; our contribution is to show that the FDR guarantee is clean and entirely agnostic to these details.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2053804
- NSF-PAR ID:
- 10335106
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- 35th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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Summary -
We propose and evaluate a learning-based framework to address multi-agent resource allocation in coupled wireless systems. In particular we consider, multiple agents (e.g., base stations, access points, etc.) that choose amongst a set of resource allocation options towards achieving their own performance objective /requirements, and where the performance observed at each agent is further coupled with the actions chosen by the other agents, e.g., through interference, channel leakage, etc. The challenge is to find the best collective action. To that end we propose a Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) framework wherein the best actions (aka arms) are adaptively learned through online reward feedback. Our focus is on systems which are "weakly-coupled" wherein the best arm of each agent is invariant to others' arm selection the majority of the time - this majority structure enables one to develop light weight efficient algorithms. This structure is commonly found in many wireless settings such as channel selection and power control. We develop a bandit algorithm based on the Track-and-Stop strategy, which shows a logarithmic regret with respect to a genie. Finally through simulation, we exhibit the potential use of our model and algorithm in several wireless application scenarios.more » « less
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Abstract E-values have gained attention as potential alternatives to p-values as measures of uncertainty, significance and evidence. In brief, e-values are realized by random variables with expectation at most one under the null; examples include betting scores, (point null) Bayes factors, likelihood ratios and stopped supermartingales. We design a natural analogue of the Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) procedure for false discovery rate (FDR) control that utilizes e-values, called the e-BH procedure, and compare it with the standard procedure for p-values. One of our central results is that, unlike the usual BH procedure, the e-BH procedure controls the FDR at the desired level—with no correction—for any dependence structure between the e-values. We illustrate that the new procedure is convenient in various settings of complicated dependence, structured and post-selection hypotheses, and multi-armed bandit problems. Moreover, the BH procedure is a special case of the e-BH procedure through calibration between p-values and e-values. Overall, the e-BH procedure is a novel, powerful and general tool for multiple testing under dependence, that is complementary to the BH procedure, each being an appropriate choice in different applications.
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null (Ed.)In this paper, we introduce a new online decision making paradigm that we call Thresholding Graph Bandits. The main goal is to efficiently identify a subset of arms in a multi-armed bandit problem whose means are above a specified threshold. While traditionally in such problems, the arms are assumed to be independent, in our paradigm we further suppose that we have access to the similarity between the arms in the form of a graph, allowing us gain information about the arm means in fewer samples. Such settings play a key role in a wide range of modern decision making problems where rapid decisions need to be made in spite of the large number of options available at each time. We present GrAPL, a novel algorithm for the thresholding graph bandit problem. We demonstrate theoretically that this algorithm is effective in taking advantage of the graph structure when available and the reward function homophily (that strongly connected arms have similar rewards) when favorable. We confirm these theoretical findings via experiments on both synthetic and real data.more » « less
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