Abstract Baffin Bay is the travel destination of most icebergs calving from west Greenland. They commonly follow the bay's cyclonic circulation and might end up far south along the coast of Newfoundland and Labrador, where many shipping routes converge. Given the hazard that icebergs pose to marine transportation, understanding their distribution is fundamental. One of the forces driving iceberg drift arises from the presence of sea ice. Observations in the Southern Ocean indicate that icebergs get locked in thick and concentrated sea ice. We present observations that support the occurrence of this sea ice locking mechanism (SIL) in Baffin Bay as well. Most iceberg models, however, represent the sea ice force over an iceberg as a simple drag force. Here, we implement a new parameterization in the iceberg module of the Nucleus for European Modeling of the Ocean (NEMO‐ICB) to represent SIL. We show that, by using this new parameterization, icebergs are more likely to travel outside of the Baffin Island Current during winter, which is supported by satellite observations. There is a slight improvement in the representation of iceberg severity along the coast of Newfoundland and Labrador and a slight shift of iceberg melt toward this region and Lancaster Sound/Hudson Strait. Although the impacts of icebergs on sea ice are still not represented, and targeted observations are needed for model calibration regarding sea ice concentration thresholds from which icebergs get locked, we are confident that this model improvement takes iceberg modeling one step forward toward reality.
more »
« less
Parameterizing Tabular‐Iceberg Decay in an Ocean Model
Abstract Large tabular icebergs account for the majority of ice mass calved from Antarctic ice shelves, but are omitted from climate models. Specifically, these models do not account for iceberg breakup and as a result, modeled large icebergs could drift to low latitudes. Here, we develop a physically based parameterization of iceberg breakup based on the “footloose mechanism” suitable for climate models. This mechanism describes breakup of ice pieces from the iceberg edges triggered by buoyancy forces associated with a submerged ice foot fringing the iceberg. This foot develops as a result of ocean‐induced melt and erosion of the iceberg freeboard explicitly parameterized in the model. We then use an elastic beam model to determine when the foot is large enough to trigger calving, as well as the size of each child iceberg, which is controlled with the ice stiffness parameter. We test the breakup parameterization with a realistic large iceberg calving‐size distribution in the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory OM4 ocean/sea‐ice model and obtain simulated iceberg trajectories and areas that closely match observations. Thus, the footloose mechanism appears to play a major role in iceberg decay that was previously unaccounted for in iceberg models. We also find that varying the size of the broken ice bits can influence the iceberg meltwater distribution more than physically realistic variations to the footloose decay rate.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 1744800
- PAR ID:
- 10366897
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
- Volume:
- 14
- Issue:
- 3
- ISSN:
- 1942-2466
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
null (Ed.)Abstract Iceberg calving strongly controls glacier mass loss, but the fracture processes leading to iceberg formation are poorly understood due to the stochastic nature of calving. The size distributions of icebergs produced during the calving process can yield information on the processes driving calving and also affect the timing, magnitude, and spatial distribution of ocean fresh water fluxes near glaciers and ice sheets. In this study, we apply fragmentation theory to describe key calving behaviours, based on observational and modelling data from Greenland and Antarctica. In both regions, iceberg calving is dominated by elastic-brittle fracture processes, where distributions contain both exponential and power law components describing large-scale uncorrelated fracture and correlated branching fracture, respectively. Other size distributions can also be observed. For Antarctic icebergs, distributions change from elastic-brittle type during ‘stable’ calving to one dominated by grinding or crushing during ice shelf disintegration events. In Greenland, we find that iceberg fragment size distributions evolve from an initial elastic-brittle type distribution near the calving front, into a steeper grinding/crushing-type power law along-fjord. These results provide an entirely new framework for understanding controls on iceberg calving and how calving may react to climate forcing.more » « less
-
Abstract. Iceberg A68a calved from Larsen C ice shelf, experienced several major calving when drifting around the South Georgia Island in late 2020. Here, we show for the first time that the decisive factor for its calving was a collision with the surrounding seamount. By treating the iceberg as a deformable body in an established ice-flow model, we show how its collision with the seafloor created huge stresses within the iceberg that led to its disintegration. The drifting and rotating of the iceberg, while grounded, further enhanced its breakup. Moving over a grounded shoal increased the tensile stresses by a factor of almost one hundred more than immobile grounding alone, and rotational motion about the pinning point increased the stresses by another twenty percent. Modeling the fracture and breakup of a large tabular iceberg is an essential step toward better understanding the life cycle of an iceberg. The possible collapse of the marine-based sectors of the great ice sheets in a warming world may lead to a massive increase in the number of icebergs in the surrounding oceans. It will be crucial to be able to understand where such icebergs drift and how they ultimately disintegrate into the ocean.more » « less
-
### Access Dataset and extensive metadata can be accessed and downloaded via: [https://arcticdata.io/data/10.18739/A2CZ32678/](https://arcticdata.io/data/10.18739/A2CZ32678/) ### Overview A limited understanding of how glacier-ocean interactions lead to iceberg calving and melting at the ice-ocean boundary contributes to uncertainty in predictions of sea level rise. Dense packs of icebergs and sea ice, known as ice mélange, occur in many fjords in Greenland and Antarctica. Observations suggest that ice mélange may directly affect iceberg calving by pressing against the glacier front and indirectly affect glacier melting by controlling where and when icebergs melt which can impact ocean circulation and ocean heat transport towards glaciers. However, the interactions between ice mélange, ocean circulation, and iceberg calving have not been systematically investigated due to the difficulty of conducting field work in Greenland fjords. In order to investigate the dynamics of ice mélange (and other floating granular materials) and to inform development of ice mélange models, we conducted a series of laboratory experiments using synthetic icebergs (plastic blocks) that were pushed down a tank by a synthetic glacier. This data set consists of force measurements on the glacier terminus and time-lapse photographs of the experiments that were used for visualizing motion.more » « less
-
Abstract Changes in iceberg calving fluxes and oceanographic conditions around Antarctica have likely influenced the spatial and temporal distribution of iceberg fresh water fluxes to the surrounding ocean basins. However, Antarctic iceberg melt rate estimates have been limited to very large icebergs in the open ocean. Here we use a remote-sensing approach to estimate iceberg melt rates from 2011 to 2022 for 15 study sites around Antarctica. Melt rates generally increase with iceberg draft and follow large-scale variations in ocean temperature: maximum melt rates for the western peninsula, western ice sheet, eastern ice sheet and eastern peninsula are ~50, ~40, ~5 and ~5 m a−1, respectively. Iceberg melt sensitivity to thermal forcing varies widely, with a best-estimate increase in melting of ~24 m a−1°C−1and range from near-zero to ~100 m a−1°C−1. Variations in water shear likely contribute to the apparent spread in thermal forcing sensitivity across sites. Although the sensitivity of iceberg melt rates to water shear prevents the use of melt rates as a proxy to infer coastal water mass temperature variability, additional coastal iceberg melt observations will likely improve models of Southern Ocean fresh water fluxes and have potential for subglacial discharge plume mapping.more » « less
An official website of the United States government
