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Title: Applications of Machine Learning to Predicting Core-collapse Supernova Explosion Outcomes
Abstract Most existing criteria derived from progenitor properties of core-collapse supernovae are not very accurate in predicting explosion outcomes. We present a novel look at identifying the explosion outcome of core-collapse supernovae using a machine-learning approach. Informed by a sample of 100 2D axisymmetric supernova simulations evolved with F ornax , we train and evaluate a random forest classifier as an explosion predictor. Furthermore, we examine physics-based feature sets including the compactness parameter, the Ertl condition, and a newly developed set that characterizes the silicon/oxygen interface. With over 1500 supernovae progenitors from 9−27 M ⊙ , we additionally train an autoencoder to extract physics-agnostic features directly from the progenitor density profiles. We find that the density profiles alone contain meaningful information regarding their explodability. Both the silicon/oxygen and autoencoder features predict the explosion outcome with ≈90% accuracy. In anticipation of much larger multidimensional simulation sets, we identify future directions in which machine-learning applications will be useful beyond the explosion outcome prediction.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1804048
PAR ID:
10402214
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ;
Date Published:
Journal Name:
The Astrophysical Journal Letters
Volume:
937
Issue:
1
ISSN:
2041-8205
Page Range / eLocation ID:
L15
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
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