ABSTRACT Understanding clinical trajectories of sepsis patients is crucial for prognostication, resource planning, and to inform digital twin models of critical illness. This study aims to identify common clinical trajectories based on dynamic assessment of cardiorespiratory support using a validated electronic health record data that covers retrospective cohort of 19,177 patients with sepsis admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) of Mayo Clinic Hospitals over 8-year period. Patient trajectories were modeled from ICU admission up to 14 days using an unsupervised machine learning two-stage clustering method based on cardiorespiratory support in ICU and hospital discharge status. Of 19,177 patients, 42% were female with a median age of 65 (interquartile range [IQR], 55–76) years, The Acute Physiology, Age, and Chronic Health Evaluation III score of 70 (IQR, 56–87), hospital length of stay (LOS) of 7 (IQR, 4–12) days, and ICU LOS of 2 (IQR, 1–4) days. Four distinct trajectories were identified: fast recovery (27% with a mortality rate of 3.5% and median hospital LOS of 3 (IQR, 2–15) days), slow recovery (62% with a mortality rate of 3.6% and hospital LOS of 8 (IQR, 6–13) days), fast decline (4% with a mortality rate of 99.7% and hospital LOS of 1 (IQR, 0–1) day), and delayed decline (7% with a mortality rate of 97.9% and hospital LOS of 5 (IQR, 3–8) days). Distinct trajectories remained robust and were distinguished by Charlson Comorbidity Index, The Acute Physiology, Age, and Chronic Health Evaluation III scores, as well as day 1 and day 3 SOFA (P< 0.001 ANOVA). These findings provide a foundation for developing prediction models and digital twin decision support tools, improving both shared decision making and resource planning.
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Derivation and Validation of an Algorithm to Detect Stroke Using Arm Accelerometry Data
Background Early diagnosis is essential for effective stroke therapy. Strokes in hospitalized patients are associated with worse outcomes compared with strokes in the community. We derived and validated an algorithm to identify strokes by monitoring upper limb movements in hospitalized patients. Methods and Results A prospective case–control study in hospitalized patients evaluated bilateral arm accelerometry from patients with acute stroke with lateralized weakness and controls without stroke. We derived a stroke classifier algorithm from 123 controls and 77 acute stroke cases and then validated the performance in a separate cohort of 167 controls and 33 acute strokes, measuring false alarm rates in nonstroke controls and time to detection in stroke cases. Faster detection time was associated with more false alarms. With a median false alarm rate among nonstroke controls of 3.6 (interquartile range [IQR], 2.1–5.0) alarms per patient per day, the median time to detection was 15.0 (IQR, 8.0–73.5) minutes. A median false alarm rate of 1.1 (IQR. 0–2.2) per patient per day was associated with a median time to stroke detection of 29.0 (IQR, 11.0–58.0) minutes. There were no differences in algorithm performance for subgroups dichotomized by age, sex, race, handedness, nondominant hemisphere involvement, intensive care unit versus ward, or daytime versus nighttime. Conclusions Arm movement data can be used to detect asymmetry indicative of stroke in hospitalized patients with a low false alarm rate. Additional studies are needed to demonstrate clinical usefulness.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1915398
- PAR ID:
- 10461827
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of the American Heart Association
- Volume:
- 12
- Issue:
- 3
- ISSN:
- 2047-9980
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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