skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


Title: Lightning and Radar Characteristics of Tornadic Cells in Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
Abstract Tropical cyclone (TC) tornadoes are often associated with lower‐skill forecasts compared to midlatitude supercellular tornadoes. Forecasts may be improved through a greater understanding of their lightning and radar signatures. This study investigates the lightning and radar characteristics of TC tornadic cells for comparison with TC non‐tornadic cells (i.e., strongly rotating cells without tornadoes) and non‐TC tornadic cells using three lightning networks and radar data. These results show that the majority of TC tornadic and non‐tornadic cells are not associated with lightning, although the former subset occurs with lightning more often. TC tornadic cases typically have lightning maximized to its northeast, whereas the non‐tornadic subset is associated with a lower density of flashes that are more symmetrically distributed. TC tornadic mesocyclones also show stronger low‐level rotation and convergence at the time of tornado occurrence compared to non‐tornadic cases. Hourly trends in rotation and convergence show stronger increases before tornado occurrence in both variables for TC tornadic mesocyclones, yielding small, nonsignificant differences with non‐TC tornadic mesocyclones during tornado occurrence. Finally, analysis of lightning throughout the TC shows that tornadic cells often occur on the downwind edge of a broad lightning maximum, whereas non‐tornadic cases occur in the middle of a weaker lightning maximum, with these maxima propagating away from the TC in both subsets.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
2028151
PAR ID:
10464654
Author(s) / Creator(s):
 ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  
Publisher / Repository:
DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Volume:
128
Issue:
16
ISSN:
2169-897X
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Abstract Supercells in landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) often produce tornadoes that can cause fatalities and extensive damage. In previous studies, many tornadoes have been shown to form <50 km from the coast, and their parent storms may also intensify as they cross the coastal boundary. This study uses WSR‐88D observations of TC tornadic mesocyclones from 2011 to 2018 to examine changes in their low‐level rotation upon moving onshore. We will show that radar‐derived azimuthal shear tends to increase in storms that cross the coastal boundary. Similar intensification trends are also found in radar‐derived (supercell) storm‐scale divergence, such that storm‐scale convergence increases as storms move onshore. It is likely changes in the near‐coast vertical wind shear and/or near‐shore convergence helps explain supercell intensification, which is important to consider particularly in operational settings. 
    more » « less
  2. Abstract A sample of 198 supercells are investigated to determine if a radar proxy for the area of the storm midlevel updraft may be a skillful predictor of imminent tornado formation and/or peak tornado intensity. A novel algorithm, a modified version of the Thunderstorm Risk Estimation from Nowcasting Development via Size Sorting (TRENDSS) algorithm is used to estimate the area of the enhanced differential radar reflectivity factor (Z DR ) column in Weather Surveillance Radar – 1988 Doppler data; the Z DR column area is used as a proxy for the area of the midlevel updraft. The areas of Z DR columns are compared for 154 tornadic supercells and 44 non-tornadic supercells, including 30+ supercells with tornadoes rated EF1, EF2, and EF3; nine supercells with EF4+ tornadoes also are analyzed. It is found that (i) at the time of their peak 0-1 km azimuthal shear, non-tornadic supercells have consistently small (< 20 km 2 ) Z DR column areas while tornadic cases exhibit much greater variability in areas, and (ii) at the time of tornadogenesis, EF3+ tornadic cases have larger Z DR column areas than tornadic cases rated EF1/2. In addition, all nine violent tornadoes sampled have Z DR column areas > 30 km 2 at the time of tornadogenesis. However, only weak positive correlation is found between Z DR column area and both radar-estimated peak tornado intensity and maximum tornado path width. Planned future work focused on mechanisms linking updraft size and tornado formation and intensity is summarized and the use of the modified TRENDSS algorithm, which is immune to Z DR bias and thus ideal for real-time operational use, is emphasized. 
    more » « less
  3. Abstract This work investigates how the relationship between tropical cyclone (TC) tornadoes and ambient (i.e., synoptic-scale) deep-tropospheric (i.e., 850–200-hPa) vertical wind shear (VWS) varies between coastal and inland environments. Observed U.S. TC tornado track data are used to study tornado frequency and location, while dropsonde and radiosonde data are used to analyze convective-scale environments. To study the variability in the TC tornado–VWS relationship, these data are categorized by both 1) their distance from the coast and 2) reanalysis-derived VWS magnitude. The analysis shows that TCs produce coastal tornadoes regardless of VWS magnitude primarily in their downshear sector, with tornadoes most frequently occurring in strongly sheared cases. Inland tornadoes, including the most damaging cases, primarily occur in strongly sheared TCs within the outer radii of the downshear-right quadrant. Consistent with these patterns, dropsondes and coastal radiosondes show that the downshear-right quadrant of strongly sheared TCs has the most favorable combination of enhanced lower-tropospheric near-surface speed shear and veering, and reduced lower-tropospheric thermodynamic stability for tornadic supercells. Despite the weaker intensity farther inland, these kinematic conditions are even more favorable in inland environments within the downshear-right quadrant of strongly sheared TCs, due to the strengthened veering of the ambient winds and the lack of changes in the TC outer tangential wind field strength. The constructive superposition of the ambient and TC winds may be particularly important to inland tornado occurrence. Together, these results will allow forecasters to anticipate how the frequency and location of tornadoes and, more broadly, convection may change as TCs move inland. 
    more » « less
  4. Abstract There remains no consensus on whether the outer size of the tropical cyclone (TC) wind field impacts tornado occurrence. This study statistically examines the relationship between TC outer size with both the number and location of tornadoes using multidecadal tornado reports, a reanalysis‐derived TC outer size metric, and radiosonde data. These results show that larger TC spawn tornadoes that are located farther from and over a broader region relative to the cyclone center, although these changes do not entirely scale with TC outer size. Larger TCs are also associated with more frequent occurrence of tornadoes per 6 h, especially enhanced numbers of tornadoes. These changes in tornado occurrence in larger TCs may be due to a broadening of favorable helicity for tornadoes in the downshear sector, which may be partially offset by CAPE reductions in the left‐of‐shear quadrants. 
    more » « less
  5. null (Ed.)
    Abstract The time preceding supercell tornadogenesis and tornadogenesis “failure” has been studied extensively to identify differing attributes related to tornado production or lack thereof. Studies from the Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment (VORTEX) found that air in the rear-flank downdraft (RFD) regions of non- and weakly tornadic supercells had different near-surface thermodynamic characteristics than that in strongly tornadic supercells. Subsequently, it was proposed that microphysical processes are likely to have an impact on the resulting thermodynamics of the near-surface RFD region. One way to view proxies to microphysical features, namely drop size distributions (DSDs), is through use of polarimetric radar data. Studies from the second VORTEX used data from dual-polarization radars to provide evidence of different DSDs in the hook echoes of tornadic and non-tornadic supercells. However, radar-based studies during these projects were limited to a small number of cases preventing result generalizations. This study compiles 68 tornadic and 62 non-tornadic supercells using Weather Surveillance Radar–1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) data to analyze changes in polarimetric radar variables leading up to, and at, tornadogenesis and tornadogenesis failure. Case types generally did not show notable hook echo differences in variables between sets, but did show spatial hook echo quadrant DSD differences. Consistent with past studies, differential radar reflectivity factor (Z DR ) generally decreased leading up to tornadogenesis and tornadogenesis failure; in both sets, estimated total number concentration increased during the same times. Relationships between DSDs and the near-storm environment, and implications of results for nowcasting tornadogenesis, also are discussed. 
    more » « less