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Abstract Study ObjectivesEvaluate wrist-placed accelerometry predicted heartrate compared to electrocardiogram (ECG) heartrate in children during sleep. MethodsChildren (n = 82, 61% male, 43.9% black) wore a wrist-placed Apple Watch Series 7 (AWS7) and ActiGraph GT9X during a polysomnogram. Three-Axis accelerometry data was extracted from AWS7 and the GT9X. Accelerometry heartrate estimates were derived from jerk (the rate of acceleration change), computed using the peak magnitude frequency in short time Fourier Transforms of Hilbert transformed jerk computed from acceleration magnitude. Heartrates from ECG traces were estimated from R-R intervals using R-pulse detection. Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient (CCC), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percent error (MAPE) assessed agreement with ECG estimated heart rate. Secondary analyses explored agreement by polysomnography sleep stage and a signal quality metric. ResultsThe developed scripts are available on Github. For the GT9X, CCC was poor at −0.11 and MAE and MAPE were high at 16.8 (SD = 14.2) beats/minute and 20.4% (SD = 18.5%). For AWS7, CCC was moderate at 0.61 while MAE and MAPE were lower at 6.4 (SD = 9.9) beats/minute and 7.3% (SD = 10.3%). Accelerometry estimated heartrate for AWS7 was more closely related to ECG heartrate during N2, N3 and REM sleep than lights on, wake, and N1 and when signal quality was high. These patterns were not evident for the GT9X. ConclusionsRaw accelerometry data extracted from AWS7, but not the GT9X, can be used to estimate heartrate in children while they sleep. Future work is needed to explore the sources (i.e. hardware, software, etc.) of the GT9X’s poor performance.
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From Sleep Patterns to Heart Rhythms: Predicting Atrial Fibrillation from Overnight Polysomnograms
Abstract BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is often asymptomatic and thus under-observed. Given the high risks of stroke and heart failure among patients with AF, early prediction and effective management are crucial. Importantly, obstructive sleep apnea is highly prevalent among AF patients (60–90%); therefore, electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis from polysomnography (PSG), a standard diagnostic tool for subjects with suspected sleep apnea, presents a unique opportunity for the early prediction of AF. Our goal is to identify individuals at a high risk of developing AF in the future from a single-lead ECG recorded during standard PSGs. MethodsWe analyzed 18,782 single-lead ECG recordings from 13,609 subjects at Massachusetts General Hospital, identifying AF presence using ICD-9/10 codes in medical records. Our dataset comprises 15,913 recordings without a medical record for AF and 2,056 recordings from patients who were first diagnosed with AF between 1 day to 15 years after the PSG recording. The PSG data were partitioned into training, validation, and test cohorts. In the first phase, a signal quality index (SQI) was calculated in 30-second windows and those with SQI<0.95 were removed. From each remaining window, 150 hand-crafted features were extracted from time, frequency, time-frequency domains, and phase-space reconstructions of the ECG. A compilation of 12 statistical features summarized these window-specific features per recording, resulting in 1,800 features. We then updated a pre-trained deep neural network and data from the PhysioNet Challenge 2021 using transfer-learning to discriminate between recordings with and without AF using the same Challenge data. The model was applied to the PSG ECGs in 16-second windows to generate the probability of AF for each window. From the resultant probability sequence, 13 statistical features were extracted. Subsequently, we trained a shallow neural network to predict future AF using the extracted ECG and probability features. ResultsOn the test set, our model demonstrated a sensitivity of 0.67, specificity of 0.81, and precision of 0.3 for predicting AF. Further, survival analysis for AF outcomes, using the log-rank test, revealed a hazard ratio of 8.36 (p-value of 1.93 × 10−52). ConclusionsOur proposed ECG analysis method, utilizing overnight PSG data, shows promise in AF prediction despite a modest precision indicating the presence of false positive cases. This approach could potentially enable low-cost screening and proactive treatment for high-risk patients. Ongoing refinement, such as integrating additional physiological parameters could significantly reduce false positives, enhancing its clinical utility and accuracy.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2014438
- PAR ID:
- 10547654
- Publisher / Repository:
- medRxiv
- Date Published:
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Institution:
- medRxiv
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Posted Content:
- https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.06.04.24308444
