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Spatial–temporal data arise frequently in biomedical, environmental, political and social science studies. Capturing dynamic changes of time-varying correlation structure is scientifically important in spatio-temporal data analysis. We approximate the time-varying empirical estimator of the spatial correlation matrix by groups of selected basis matrices representing substructures of the correlation matrix. After projecting the correlation structure matrix onto a space spanned by basis matrices, we also incorporate varying-coefficient model selection and estimation for signals associated with relevant basis matrices. The unique feature of the proposed method is that signals at local regions corresponding with time can be identified through the proposed penalized objective function. Theoretically, we show model selection consistency and the oracle property in detecting local signals for the varying-coefficient estimators. The proposed method is illustrated through simulation studies and brain fMRI data.
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Estimation and Inference for Spatio-Temporal Single-Index Models
To better fit the actual data, this paper will consider both spatio-temporal correlation and heterogeneity to build the model. In order to overcome the “curse of dimensionality” problem in the nonparametric method, we improve the estimation method of the single-index model and combine it with the correlation and heterogeneity of the spatio-temporal model to obtain a good estimation method. In this paper, assuming that the spatio-temporal process obeys the α mixing condition, a nonparametric procedure is developed for estimating the variance function based on a fully nonparametric function or dimensional reduction structure, and the resulting estimator is consistent. Then, a reweighting estimation of the parametric component can be obtained via taking the estimated variance function into account. The rate of convergence and the asymptotic normality of the new estimators are established under mild conditions. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the efficacy of the proposed methodologies, and a case study about the estimation of the air quality evaluation index in Nanjing is provided for illustration.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1953087
- PAR ID:
- 10557173
- Publisher / Repository:
- MDPI
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Mathematics
- Volume:
- 11
- Issue:
- 20
- ISSN:
- 2227-7390
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 4289
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
-
Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.3390/math11204289
