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Abstract Thwaites Glacier is one of the fastest‐changing ice‐ocean systems in Antarctica. Basal melting beneath Thwaites' floating ice shelf, especially around pinning points and at the grounding line, sets the rate of ice loss and Thwaites' contribution to global sea‐level rise. The rate of basal melting is controlled by the transport of heat into and through the ice–ocean boundary layer toward the ice base. Here we present the first turbulence observations from the grounding line of Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf. We demonstrate that contrary to expectations, the turbulence‐driven vertical flux of heat into the ice–ocean boundary layer is insufficient to sustain the basal melt rate. Instead, most of the heat required must be delivered by lateral fluxes driven by the large‐scale advective circulation. Lateral processes likely dominate beneath the most unstable warm‐cavity ice shelves, and thus must be fully incorporated into parameterizations of ice shelf basal melting. 

Abstract Jakobshavn Isbræ, a major outlet glacier in Greenland, lost its protective ice shelf in 2002 and has been speeding up and retreating since. We image its grounding line for the first time with a terrestrial radar interferometer deployed in 2016 and detect its migration at tidal frequencies. The southern half of the glacier develops a floating section (3 km × 3 km) that migrates in phase with the tidal difference, up to a distance of 2.8 km, far more than previously expected. We attribute the migration to kilometer‐scale seawater intrusions, 10–20 cm in height, with the tide. The intrusions reveal that the glacier bed may be up to 800 m deeper than expected on the south side, which illustrates that our knowledge of bed topography remains limited for this glacier. We expect seawater intrusions to cause rapid melt of basal ice and play a major role in the glacier evolution. 

Abstract Numerical modeling of ice sheet motion and hence projections of global sea level rise require information about the evolving subglacial environment, which unfortunately remains largely unknown due to its difficulty of access. Here we advance such subglacial observations by reporting multi‐year observations of seismic tremor likely associated with glacier sliding at Helheim Glacier. This association is confirmed by correlation analysis between tremor power and multiple environmental forcings on different timescales. Variations of the observed tremor power indicate that different factors affect glacial sliding on different timescales. Effective pressure may control glacial sliding on long (seasonal/annual) timescales, while tidal forcing modulates the sliding rate and tremor power on short (hourly/daily) timescales. Polarization results suggest that the tremor source comes from an upstream subglacial ridge. This observation provides insights on how different factors should be included in ice sheet modeling and how their timescales of variability play an essential role. 

Abstract. Societal adaptation to rising sea levels requires robust projections of the Antarctic Ice Sheet’s retreat, particularly due to ocean-driven basal melting of its fringing ice shelves. Recent advances in ocean models that simulate ice-shelf melting offer an opportunity to reduce uncertainties in ice–ocean interactions. Here, we compare several community-contributed, circum-Antarctic ocean simulations to highlight inter-model differences, evaluate agreement with satellite-derived melt rates, and examine underlying physical processes. All but one simulation use a melting formulation depending on both thermal driving (T ⋆) and friction velocity (u⋆), which together represent the thermal and ocean current forcings at the ice–ocean interface. Simulated melt rates range from 650 to 1277 Gt year−1 (m = 0.45 − 0.91 m year−1), driven by variations in model resolution, parameterisations, and sub-ice shelf circulation. Freeze-to-melt ratios span 0.30 to 30.12 %, indicating large differences in how refreezing is represented. The multi-model mean (MMM) produces an averaged melt rate of 0.60 m year−1 from a net mass loss of 842.99 Gt year−1 (876.03 Gt year−1 melting and 33.05 Gt year−1 refreezing), yielding a freeze-to-melt ratio of 3.92 %. We define a thermo-kinematic melt sensitivity, ζ = m/(T ⋆ u⋆) = 4.82 × 10−5 °C−1 for the MMM, with individual models spanning 2.85 × 10−5 to 19.4 × 10−5 °C−1. Higher melt rates typically occur near grounding zones where both T ⋆ and u⋆ exert roughly equal influence. Because friction velocity is critical for turbulent heat exchange, ice-shelf melting must be characterised by both ocean energetics and thermal forcing. Further work to standardise model setups and evaluation of results against in situ observations and satellite data will be essential for increasing model accuracy, reducing uncertainties, to improve our understanding of ice-shelf–ocean interactions and refine sea-level rise predictions. 

Ice core measurements reveal dipole-like snow accumulation trends over West Antarctica throughout the 20th century, with an increase of >2000 billion metric tons over the Antarctic Peninsula and Ellsworth Land but a decrease of ~500 billion metric tons over Marie Byrd Land. Although atmospheric teleconnections were frequently revealed, linking variability between tropics and higher latitudes on interannual and decadal timescales, centennial-scale teleconnection is absent from literature. Here, using statistical analysis and numerical experiments, we reveal that changes of tropical oceans throughout the 20th century drive the long-term Antarctic snowfall trend. A pronounced warming over the tropical Atlantic and a moderate cooling over the equatorial Pacific have driven an adjustment of moisture transport and thus snowfall pattern in West Antarctica. Our study reveals a centennial tropical-polar teleconnection, producing long-term trends with opposing changes across the regions. Remote forcing from the tropics increased the mass accumulation over Antarctica, balanced rapid iceshelf thinning in recent decades, contributing to global sea-level changes. 

Abstract. Iceberg A68a calved from Larsen C ice shelf, experienced several major calving when drifting around the South Georgia Island in late 2020. Here, we show for the first time that the decisive factor for its calving was a collision with the surrounding seamount. By treating the iceberg as a deformable body in an established ice-flow model, we show how its collision with the seafloor created huge stresses within the iceberg that led to its disintegration. The drifting and rotating of the iceberg, while grounded, further enhanced its breakup. Moving over a grounded shoal increased the tensile stresses by a factor of almost one hundred more than immobile grounding alone, and rotational motion about the pinning point increased the stresses by another twenty percent. Modeling the fracture and breakup of a large tabular iceberg is an essential step toward better understanding the life cycle of an iceberg. The possible collapse of the marine-based sectors of the great ice sheets in a warming world may lead to a massive increase in the number of icebergs in the surrounding oceans. It will be crucial to be able to understand where such icebergs drift and how they ultimately disintegrate into the ocean. 

Abstract. The Marine Ice Sheet–Ocean Model Intercomparison Project – phase 2 (MISOMIP2) is a natural progression of previous and ongoing model intercomparison exercises that have focused on the simulation of ice-sheet and ocean processes in Antarctica. The previous exercises motivate the move towards realistic configurations, as well as more diverse model parameters and resolutions. The main objective of MISOMIP2 is to investigate the performance of existing ocean and coupled ice-sheet–ocean models in a range of Antarctic environments through comparisons to observational data. We will assess the status of ice-sheet–ocean modelling as a community and identify common characteristics of models that are best able to capture observed features. As models are highly tuned based on present-day data, we will also compare their sensitivity to prescribed abrupt atmospheric perturbations leading to either very warm or slightly warmer ocean conditions compared to the present day. The approach of MISOMIP2 is to welcome contributions of models as they are, including global and regional configurations, but we request standardized variables and common grids for the outputs. We target the analysis at two specific regions, the Amundsen Sea and the Weddell Sea, since they describe two different ocean environments and have been relatively well observed compared to other areas of Antarctica. An observational “MIPkit” synthesizing existing ocean and ice-sheet observations for a common period is provided to evaluate ocean and ice-sheet models in these two regions.