skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

Attention:

The NSF Public Access Repository (PAR) system and access will be unavailable from 10:00 PM ET on Friday, February 6 until 10:00 AM ET on Saturday, February 7 due to maintenance. We apologize for the inconvenience.

Explore Research Products in the PAR
It may take a few hours for recently added research products to appear in PAR search results.


Title: Using Multiple Signatures to Improve Accuracy of Substorm Identification
Abstract We have developed a new procedure for combining lists of substorm onset times from multiple sources. We apply this procedure to observational data and to magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model output from 1–31 January 2005. We show that this procedure is capable of rejecting false positive identifications and filling data gaps that appear in individual lists. The resulting combined onset lists produce a waiting time distribution that is comparable to previously published results, and superposed epoch analyses of the solar wind driving conditions and magnetospheric response during the resulting onset times are also comparable to previous results. Comparison of the substorm onset list from the MHD model to that obtained from observational data reveals that the MHD model reproduces many of the characteristic features of the observed substorms, in terms of solar wind driving, magnetospheric response, and waiting time distribution. Heidke skill scores show that the MHD model has statistically significant skill in predicting substorm onset times.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1663770
PAR ID:
10480340
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ; ;
Publisher / Repository:
Wiley
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics
Volume:
125
Issue:
4
ISSN:
2169-9380
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. ; ; (, Space Weather)
    Abstract We investigate the applicability and performance of the plasma physics based WINDMI model to the analysis and identification of substorm onsets. There are several substorm onset criteria that have been developed into event lists, either from auroral observations or from auroral electrojet features. Five of these substorm onset lists are available at the SuperMAG website. We analyze these lists, aggregate them and use the WINDMI model to assess the identified events, emphasizing the loading/unloading mechanism in substorm dynamics. The WINDMI model employs eight differential equations utilizing solar wind data measured at L1 by the ACE satellite as input to generate outputs such as the magnetotail current, the ring current and the field‐aligned currents (FACs). In particular, the WINDMI model current output represents the westward auroral electrojet, which is related to the substorm SML index. We analyze a decade of solar wind and substorm onset data from 1998 to 2007, encompassing 39,863 onsets. Our findings reveal a significant correlation, with WINDMI‐derived enhancements in FAC coinciding with the identified substorm events approximately 32% of the time. This suggests that a substantial proportion of substorms may be attributed to solar wind driving that results in the loading and unloading of energy in the magnetotail. 
    more » « less
  2. ; ; ; ; (, Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences)
    Ion-neutral coupling is responsible for dissipating energy deposited into the high-latitude ionosphere during geomagnetically active periods. The neutral wind response time, or the ion-neutral coupling efficiency, is not well characterized, with a wide range of reported response times. Additionally, how this coupling efficiency varies with geomagnetic activity level is not well understood, with few studies addressing the impact of geomagnetic activity level on neutral wind response time. In this study, a statistical analysis of the neutral wind response time during substorm periods is performed. We use data from Scanning Doppler Imagers (SDIs) and the Poker Flat Incoherent Scatter Radar (PFISR) to calculate the neutral wind response time using the new weighted windowed time-lagged correlation method. Substorm events were found using SuperMAG substorm lists and All Sky Imagers (ASIs). This statistical analysis resulted in 23 substorm events, with an average response time of ∼ 16 min. To determine the controlling factors of this response time, geomagnetic and ionospheric parameters, such as IMF strength and orientation, SYM/H index, AE index, and electron density, are investigated for the statistical substorm set. A superposed epoch analysis of the parameters is performed to determine average geospace conditions required for fast neutral wind responses. It was found that quiet-time conditions in AE and SYM-H indices, a southward turning of IMF around 1.5 h before substorm onset time, and large electron densities lead to faster neutral wind response times. Based on the geomagnetic indices results, it was suggested that thermospheric pre-conditioning may play a role in neutral wind response times. 
    more » « less
  3. ; ; (, Earth and Space Science)
    Abstract The temporal variability of magnetopause reconnection is an important aspect of solar wind magnetosphere coupling. Even under stable solar wind driving, reconnection can be triggered, modulated, or suppressed because of magnetic field and plasma conditions near the magnetopause boundary. We analyze a unique event in which a THEMIS satellite crosses the subsolar magnetopause three times within a 5 min interval in the presence of a cold‐ion population on the magnetospheric side of the boundary. During the first crossing, the satellite detects reconnection outflow and a D‐ shaped ion velocity distribution earthward from the boundary, indicating an active reconnection. The signatures disappear during the second crossing when the magnetospheric cold‐ion density increases significantly and reappear during the third crossing when the magnetospheric density drops to a level comparable to that of the first crossing. The solar wind and magnetosheath conditions do not change much during the interval. The magnetospheric population is evidently associated with a plasmaspheric plume with considerable variation in density. According to the theory of mass loading, the presence of such a plume population results in the local Alfvén speed at the second crossing being 40% smaller compared to the first and third crossings. However, the theory itself does not suggest suppression. We discuss possible suppression mechanisms considering the additional effects of the prevailing solar wind and local magnetopause conditions. 
    more » « less
  4. ; ; ; (, Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics)
    Abstract High‐latitude neutral winds have a number of drivers, both from solar and magnetospheric origins. Because of this, the neutral wind response to changes in ionospheric convection is not well understood. Previous calculations of response times resulted in a wide range of responses, from tens of minutes to hours. We present a new weighted windowed time‐lagged correlation (weighted WTLC) method for calculating the neutral wind response time. This method provides a time evolution of the neutral wind response time and considers the effects of all thermospheric forces, while previous methods were only capable of one or the other. We use data from SDIs, ASIs, and PFISR to calculate the neutral wind response time using this new method in three case studies. The results are visually validated, and the weighted WTLC method was able to correctly calculate the neutral wind response time. The time evolution of the weighted WTLC time is then compared to previous neutral wind response time calculations in order to investigate the role of ion‐drag on neutral winds. For the substorm event on 2013 Feb 28, we see a shorter response time from the weighted WTLC method, ranging from 0 to 15 min, than the e‐folding time, ranging from 30 to 355 min. The relationship between the two calculation methods and their implications about the ion‐drag force is discussed. Using the time‐dependent feature of the weighted WTLC method, we observe the neutral wind response time decrease over the course of a substorm event, indicating ion‐neutral coupling increased as the substorm progressed. 
    more » « less
  5. ; ; ; ; ; ; (, Geophysical Research Letters)
    Abstract Solar wind drives magnetospheric dynamics through coupling with the geospace system at the magnetopause. While upstream fluctuations correlate with geomagnetic activity, their impact on the magnetopause energy transfer is an open question. In this study, we examine three‐dimensional global magnetospheric simulations using the Geospace configuration of the Space Weather Modeling Framework. We examine the effects of solar wind fluctuations during a substorm event by running the model with four different driving conditions that vary in fluctuation frequency spectrum. We demonstrate that upstream fluctuations intensify the energy exchange at the magnetopause increasing both energy flux into and out of the system. The increased energy input is reflected in ground magnetic indices. Moreover, the fluctuations impact the magnetopause dynamics by regulating the energy exchange between the polar caps and lobes and energy transport within the magnetotail neutral sheet. 
    more » « less
  • Citation Formats
  • MLA
  • APA
  • Chicago
  • BibTeX
  • Text Encoded Conversion
  • XML
  • Save / Share this Record
  • Send to Email