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ABSTRACT ObjectiveEnvironmental variability as a factor of climate change and water management can result in fluctuations in the abundance and distribution of fish populations from year to year, with either negative or positive effects depending on behavioral and physiological requirements and the ability to adapt to changing conditions. Variability in water levels can also influence prey availability, affecting predator abundance in seasonal foraging areas. In this study, our objective was to better understand how environmental variation has affected the relative abundance of Common Snook Centropomus undecimalis in the freshwater/estuarine habitats of Everglades National Park. MethodsElectrofishing data over 17 years (2004–2021) were analyzed in relation to a long-term time-series of environmental conditions, including water level, temperature, salinity, and precipitation. We used seasonal and trend decomposition via locally estimated scatterplot smoothing to isolate the effect of seasonality and identify nonlinear trends in the environmental time-series data and Common Snook abundance and Mann–Kendall trend tests to identify monotonic and directional trends over time. To identify the factors that best explain variation in Common Snook abundance, we used generalized linear models to relate relative abundance to the environmental covariates. ResultsWe found significant long-term trends of increasing water level and temperature and decreasing salinity in the study area. The generalized linear models indicated that Common Snook abundance had a negative relationship with water level and a positive relationship with temperature. Common Snook abundance over the 17 years of sampling was relatively stable; however, increases/decreases in Common Snook abundance corresponded to both seasonal changes in water level and the periodic occurrence of extreme conditions (e.g., cold spells, droughts, prolonged dry-season flooding). ConclusionsUnderstanding how past environmental change has affected fish populations can provide insight into how they may respond to future conditions. Our results suggest that water management decisions that maintain seasonal patterns of high/low water levels can potentially mitigate climate-driven shifts by providing conditions that promote prey production in the wet season and foraging opportunities in the dry season, increasing the relative abundance of ecologically and recreationally important species such as Common Snook.
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This content will become publicly available on September 1, 2026
Linking hydrology, temperature, and energetics: Global change implications for the foraging ecology of a generalist predator
ABSTRACT ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to quantify the effects of temperature, hydrology, and body size on the diet and energy requirements of a generalist predator, Common Snook Centropomus undecimalis (hereafter, “snook”), to gain a better understanding of predator–prey dynamics in the wake of global change. We first ask how temperature, hydrology, and body size influence the occurrence of fish, invertebrates, and empty stomachs in the diet of snook. Next, we model the energetic requirements of snook as a function of body size and temperature. Last, we use predation simulations to test how changes in prey quality, together with snook energy requirements, interact to shape prey demand. MethodsThis study used long-term empirical diet information for snook that were collected from the Shark River, Everglades National Park, alongside models of consumer energetic needs and predation simulations. We used a set of generalized linear models to determine the relationships between snook diet and a suite of predictor variables representing hydrology, temperature, and body size. Models of consumer energetic requirements were used to better understand the total daily caloric needs of snook across a range of temperature and body sizes relative to the available energy in the fish and invertebrate prey that were collected from the system. Last, we conducted predation simulations to highlight the effects of variable diet scenarios on the foraging behaviors that are required to meet the total daily energetic requirements of snook at various temperatures and body sizes. ResultsSnook were observed consuming less fish, coupled with an increased likelihood of empty stomachs, at higher temperatures. Reliance on invertebrate taxa increased at high marsh stages. In addition to marsh stage, smaller-bodied individuals were more likely to consume invertebrates. The predation simulations revealed that snook that consumed invertebrate-dominated diets required greater prey biomass as well as an increased number of individual prey items to meet their daily energetic requirements relative to fish that consumed diets that contain fish. However, if snook maintained even a small proportion of fish in their diet, it substantially reduced the number and biomass of prey needed to meet their energetic requirements. ConclusionsOur predation simulations indicated that snook should select for high-quality fish prey as temperatures warm. However, the empirical data revealed a decrease in the probability of high-quality fish prey in the diets of snook. Furthermore, the empirical diet data showed that low-quality invertebrate prey were more likely to be seen in the diets of snook at high water levels. As temperatures increase and hydrology becomes increasingly variable because of global change, snook will likely need to consume larger quantities of lower quality prey (i.e., compensatory foraging) or disperse to forage in more optimal habitats. These results highlight the dynamic interplay between environmental conditions and consumer energetic needs for shaping the foraging ecology of a generalist predator.
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- PAR ID:
- 10643735
- Publisher / Repository:
- Oxford University Press
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Marine and Coastal Fisheries
- Volume:
- 17
- Issue:
- 5
- ISSN:
- 1942-5120
- Subject(s) / Keyword(s):
- animal energetics climate change foraging ecology predator–prey snook
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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