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Many non‐homogeneous Poisson process software reliability growth models (SRGM) are characterized by a single continuous curve. However, failures are driven by factors such as the testing strategy and environment, integration testing and resource allocation, which can introduce one or more changepoint into the fault detection process. Some researchers have proposed non‐homogeneous Poisson process SRGM, but only consider a common failure distribution before and after changepoints. This paper proposes a heterogeneous single changepoint framework for SRGM, which can exhibit different failure distributions before and after the changepoint. Combinations of two simple and distinct curves including an exponential and S‐shaped curve are employed to illustrate the concept. Ten data sets are used to compare these heterogeneous models against their homogeneous counterparts. Experimental results indicate that heterogeneous changepoint models achieve better goodness‐of‐fit measures on 60% and 80% of the data sets with respect to the Akaike information criterion and predictive sum of squares measures.

 

Researchers have proposed several software reliability growth models, many of which possess complex parametric forms. In practice, software reliability growth models should exhibit a balance between predictive accuracy and other statistical measures of goodness of fit, yet past studies have not always performed such balanced assessment. This paper proposes a framework for software reliability growth models possessing a bathtub-shaped fault detection rate and derives stable and efficient expectation conditional maximization algorithms to enable the fitting of these models. The stages of the bathtub are interpreted in the context of the software testing process. The illustrations compare multiple bathtub-shaped and reduced model forms, including classical models with respect to predictive and information theoretic measures. The results indicate that software reliability growth models possessing a bathtub-shaped fault detection rate outperformed classical models on both types of measures. The proposed framework and models may therefore be a practical compromise between model complexity and predictive accuracy. 

Recent research applies soft computing techniques to fit software reliability growth models. However, runtime performance and the distribution of the distance from an optimal solution over multiple runs must be explicitly considered to justify the practical utility of these approaches, promote comparison, and support reproducible research. This paper presents a meta-optimization framework to design stable and efficient multi-phase algorithms for fitting software reliability growth models. The approach combines initial parameter estimation techniques from statistical algorithms, the global search properties of soft computing, and the rapid convergence of numerical methods. Designs that exhibit the best balance between runtime performance and accuracy are identified. The approach is illustrated through nonhomogeneous Poisson process and covariate software reliability growth models, including a cross-validation step on data sets not used to identify designs. The results indicate the nonhomogeneous Poisson process model considered is too simple to benefit from soft computing because it incurs additional runtime with no increase in accuracy attained. However, a multi-phase design for the covariate software reliability growth model consisting of the bat algorithm followed by a numerical method achieves better performance and converges consistently, compared to a numerical method only. The proposed approach supports higher dimensional covariate software reliability growth model fitting suitable for implementation in a tool.